Latest batch of Zogby-Wall Street Journal Gubnatorial polls

[Democratic Hawk]

I know Zogby is much derided around here but, nevertheless:

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash06.html?project=elections06-ft

Dave

[Yates]

These are quite interesting.

[Colin]

These are quite interesting.

I wouldn't put a whole lot of stock in them. Zogby is still doing his internet polls and that is how these were conducted, I know because I actually took the PA Gubernatorial poll. It seems that Zogby's online polls continue to lean more Democratic than other polls.

[Sam Spade]

These polls remind me of why Zogby is derided around here.

And then I see the comments he posts about himself and I remember yet again.

Yawn.

[Yates]

These are quite interesting.

I wouldn't put a whole lot of stock in them. Zogby is still doing his internet polls and that is how these were conducted, I know because I actually took the PA Gubernatorial poll. It seems that Zogby's online polls continue to lean more Democratic than other polls.

I was being sardonic.

[Democratic Hawk]

He cannot always be that far wrong surely

Dave

[Alcon]

For those too lazy to click on the link:

Arizona Kyl 47%, Pederson 42%
Florida Nelson 50%, Harris 38%
Maryland Cardin 49%, Steele 39%
Michigan Stabenow 51%, Butler 39%
Minnesota Klobuchar* 49%, Kennedy 41%
Missouri Talent 48%, McCaskill 45%
Nevada Ensign 48%, Goodman 40%
New Jersey Menendez 40%, Kean 40%
New Mexico Bingaman 50%, Pfeffer 31%
New York Clinton 54%, Spencer 33%
Ohio Brown* 46%, DeWine 37%
Pennsylvania Casey* 47%, Santorum 39%
Tennessee Byant 50%, Ford Jr. 42%
Texas Hutchinson 60%, Radnofsky 31%
Virginia Allen 49%, Webb 42%
Washington Cantwell 49%, McGavick 42%
Wisconsin Kohl 47%, Thompson 46%

Ohio is truly my favourite.  Classic Zogby screw-up.

[Colin]

These are quite interesting.

I wouldn't put a whole lot of stock in them. Zogby is still doing his internet polls and that is how these were conducted, I know because I actually took the PA Gubernatorial poll. It seems that Zogby's online polls continue to lean more Democratic than other polls.

I was being sardonic.

Sorry didn't catch that. I always go by the serious until proven otherwise method of responding to posts.

[Yates]

These are quite interesting.

I wouldn't put a whole lot of stock in them. Zogby is still doing his internet polls and that is how these were conducted, I know because I actually took the PA Gubernatorial poll. It seems that Zogby's online polls continue to lean more Democratic than other polls.

I was being sardonic.

Sorry didn't catch that. I always go by the serious until proven otherwise method of responding to posts.

Quite alright.

[socaldem]

Why the heck is Zogby polling Goodman in the NV Governor race when he's not running?!?

And they're not even polling Gibson... I wonder what Titus' trend-line looks like 'cause I really think she can win it even though she's currently behind.

[Democratic Hawk]

Alcon,

Those the Senate races. I'll post them on the Congressional board. The problem the link for both sets is exactly the same, you need to alternative between the two

Governors:

Arizona Napolitano 46.6% Goldwater 35.9%

Arkansas Beebe 47.2% Hutchison 41.3%

California Angelides 45.5% Schwarzenegger 40.7%

Colorado Ritter 39.9% Beauprez 38.1%

Florida Crist 42.3% Davis 39.5%

Georgia Perdue 48.3% Cox 39.2%

Illinois Blagojevich 42.7% Topinka 36.6%

Iowa Nussle 46.1% Culver 42.4%

Maryland O'Malley 48.1% Ehrlich 42.9%

Massachusetts Patrick 53% Healey 31.5%

Michigan Granholm 48.6% DeVos 42.9%

Minnesota Pawlenty 43.5% Hatch 42.6%

Nevada Goodman 42.7% Gibbons 39.8%

New York Spitzer 59.2% Weld 22.2%

Ohio Strickland 46.6% Blackwell 40.6%

Oregon Kulongoski 45.7% Atkinson 38.9%

Pennsylvania Rendell 46.6% Swann 41.6%

Texas Perry 36.3% Bell 20.7%

Wisconsin Green 47.4% Doyle 44.3%

Dave

[Sam Spade]

He cannot always be that far wrong surely

Dave

Here's the reason.  I can halfway trust his phone polls, because I'm sure he conducts phone polls like everyone else.

His internet polls derive from a self-selected group.  It is essentially those people who sign up for his polls on the Internet.  We can see the people this type of method will tend to favor and the type of people it won't.  His survey is full of those people who are super-interested in politics (typically partisans) and have Internet access and who also know who in the hell John Zogby is.  People it would leave out are those who not figured in this list.

I am actually one of those people who took this poll.  Not that I care about the results, mind you, but as you can see I fit the description perfectly.

[Democratic Hawk]

He cannot always be that far wrong surely

Dave

Here's the reason.  I can halfway trust his phone polls, because I'm sure he conducts phone polls like everyone else.

His internet polls derive from a self-selected group.  It is essentially those people who sign up for his polls on the Internet.  We can see the people this type of method will tend to favor and the type of people it won't.  His survey is full of those people who are super-interested in politics (typically partisans) and have Internet access and who also know who in the hell John Zogby is.  People it would leave out are those who not figured in this list.

I am actually one of those people who took this poll.  Not that I care about the results, mind you, but as you can see I fit the description perfectly.

Cheers Sam . Which poll did you take? Texas or Maryland

Dave

[Sam Spade]

He cannot always be that far wrong surely

Dave

Here's the reason.  I can halfway trust his phone polls, because I'm sure he conducts phone polls like everyone else.


His internet polls derive from a self-selected group.  It is essentially those people who sign up for his polls on the Internet.  We can see the people this type of method will tend to favor and the type of people it won't.  His survey is full of those people who are super-interested in politics (typically partisans) and have Internet access and who also know who in the hell John Zogby is.  People it would leave out are those who not figured in this list.

I am actually one of those people who took this poll.  Not that I care about the results, mind you, but as you can see I fit the description perfectly.

Cheers Sam . Which poll did you take? Texas or Maryland

Dave

Took Maryland 'cause that's where I'm registered in.

I should add...

Senate: Cardin, both primary and general
Governor: Duncan in primary.  If Duncan in general, then chose undecided.  If O'Malley in general, then chose Ehrlich.

[Gustaf]

Actually, these polls were very good for Zogby. Almost none of them are far off, like 90% are a least credible.