Texas (UT-Tyler) - Biden +5 (user search)
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  Texas (UT-Tyler) - Biden +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Texas (UT-Tyler) - Biden +5  (Read 4200 times)
wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,229


« on: July 12, 2020, 08:04:46 AM »

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200712_TX.pdf

Among likely voters:
MoE: 2.4%
Sample size: 1677

Biden 48%
Trump 43%
Other 4%
Undecided 5%

Not sure why the OP has 46-41, it's 48-43
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,229


« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2020, 10:23:56 AM »

Pre mask bump. Trump is probably back ahead now.

HAHAHAHHAH (I literally lol’ed at this)

This is fantastic news. Still don’t buy it - but this has me convinced that 2024/2028 Texas is a legit swing state

Texas went from R+9 to R+2.5 in just two years from 2016 to 2018. How is the race being dead even right now not fathomable to you?
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,229


« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2020, 05:25:54 AM »

Didn't this poll adjust and weight it though, even though the % has more Dems? Didn't they then weigh it based off of what it should be?
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