Texas (UT-Tyler) - Biden +5

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

And with that, Biden will take the polling lead in the Lone Star State, and this will be the third poll in a row of him leading, after Fox News and PPP.

46 Biden
41 Trump

Was tied 43-43 in April

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good news for Hegar in TX

[SnowLabrador]

Wow, we might actually win Texas. In 2024/2028 it might be a key swing state, but in 2020 Biden will only carry it as part of an immense overall win. It won't be close to the tipping point, meaning that if Biden wins Texas, it's a landslide, or at least what passes for a landslide these days.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

And with that, Biden will take the polling lead in the Lone Star State, and this will be the third poll in a row of him leading, after Fox News and PPP.

46 Biden
41 Trump

Was tied 43-43 in April

That Fox News/PPP duo was followed by a poll with Trump leading from YouGov, the University of Texas and the Texas Politics Project.

The MoE for this sample is 2.24%.

Other 4%
Undecided 9%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is Blanch Lincoln in 2020

[Horus]

Pre mask bump. Trump is probably back ahead now.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200712_TX.pdf

Among likely voters:
MoE: 2.4%
Sample size: 1677

Biden 48%
Trump 43%
Other 4%
Undecided 5%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

This poll has brought Biden over Trump in Texas' 538 poll tracker for the first time.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is already DOA, adding more states to a 334 FL, AZ, NC goes blue, EC map like TX, OH, UT, MO and  IA isnt gonna matter all that much

[wbrocks67]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200712_TX.pdf

Among likely voters:
MoE: 2.4%
Sample size: 1677

Biden 48%
Trump 43%
Other 4%
Undecided 5%

Not sure why the OP has 46-41, it's 48-43

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200712_TX.pdf

Among likely voters:
MoE: 2.4%
Sample size: 1677

Biden 48%
Trump 43%
Other 4%
Undecided 5%

Not sure why the OP has 46-41, it's 48-43

One is likely, the other registered. 

[woodley park]

Pre mask bump. Trump is probably back ahead now.

Are we being serious about a mask bump, or is this just a running gag? It’s really hard to tell.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Pre mask bump. Trump is probably back ahead now.

Are we being serious about a mask bump, or is this just a running gag? It’s really hard to tell.

It's a running gag.  Everything is a Trump bump now.

[WD]

Pre mask bump. Trump is probably back ahead now.

Are we being serious about a mask bump, or is this just a running gag? It’s really hard to tell.

It's a running gag.  Everything is a Trump bump now.

Trump will probably be leading nationally next week after the Goya bump imo

[woodley park]

Pre mask bump. Trump is probably back ahead now.

Are we being serious about a mask bump, or is this just a running gag? It’s really hard to tell.

It's a running gag.  Everything is a Trump bump now.

Oh ok good. I was already concerned about the corrupt pardon bump.

[MillennialModerate]

Pre mask bump. Trump is probably back ahead now.

HAHAHAHHAH (I literally lol’ed at this)

This is fantastic news. Still don’t buy it - but this has me convinced that 2024/2028 Texas is a legit swing state

[Lambsbread]

Tossup Texas boys lets fudging GOOOOOO

[wbrocks67]

Pre mask bump. Trump is probably back ahead now.

HAHAHAHHAH (I literally lol’ed at this)

This is fantastic news. Still don’t buy it - but this has me convinced that 2024/2028 Texas is a legit swing state

Texas went from R+9 to R+2.5 in just two years from 2016 to 2018. How is the race being dead even right now not fathomable to you?

[ProudModerate2]

Wow.
If this holds through November, it will be an awesome win for Biden.

[MT Treasurer]

Are we being serious about a mask bump, or is this just a running gag? It’s really hard to tell.

Whenever you ask yourself a question like this on a forum like this, always assume that it’s sarcasm.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

CBS polls show Trump ahead in TX by 1

[Alben Barkley]

If this actually happens, will THAT be the thing that causes the GOP to go full panic mode and rapidly move to distance themselves from Trump and overhaul the patty party? Because blue Texas is the kind of thing that could be an absolute death blow for the GOP. Especially if they’re also losing the rust belt states (meaning they can’t reliably count on shifting trends to make up for its loss) and Florida plus GA/NC.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Who knew that catastrophically incompetent governance might actually change voters' minds?

[Hope For A New Era]

I think there's a real possibility that the case surges are what may be handing Florida, Georgia, Texas, Arizona to Biden.

We may very well see all of the shifting southern states flip at once. Certainly didn't expect that.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

overhaul the patty?

i always like to add a little Worcester sauce, myself