What signs in the early returns in FL on Election Night will indicate Biden or Trump will win it? (user search)
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  What signs in the early returns in FL on Election Night will indicate Biden or Trump will win it? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What signs in the early returns in FL on Election Night will indicate Biden or Trump will win it?  (Read 1691 times)
Devils30
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« on: July 11, 2020, 06:50:42 PM »

To be honest there really aren't any reliable ones. What mattered in 2016 led many people to believe Gillum and Nelson would win comfortably based on early returns in 2018 when they led easily in Pinellas County and also had leads in Duval, Seminole, and St. Lucie Counties. It ended up not mattering since they underperformed Clinton a lot in Miami-Dade.

Add in that the early returns this year will probably be heavily Republican-skewed with most Democrats voting by mail, and you just won't have really good indicators.

Florida can count mail ballots before Election Day so we’ll have 98% of the state probably that night.
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Devils30
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,987
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: July 11, 2020, 09:35:59 PM »

As a lifelong Pasco County resident, I can attest to the accuracy of these statements too



Edit: however Trump is going to absolutely dominate Pasco. Look for him to win by no less than 50,000 votes. He is a ing G.O.D to these people here

I would be careful holding out Pasco as a bellwether this time around. I could see Trump winning by like 16 there but Biden getting +5-10% margins out of Duval and Seminole. Also could see Trump slipping in Collier, St John's due to high education rates (unlike Pasco, Hernando, Citrus).
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