Watch the swing counties. Counties like Pinellas, Duval and Hillsborough to a lesser extent might give some early clues as to who will win the state. Biden will probably win the state if he wins Duval and Trump will almost certainly win the state if he wins Pinellas and/or Hillsborough.
Trump will not win Hillsborough- the county has moved from being a swing county into a reliably Democratic one. It's population has exploded with demographics that are favoring Democrats. In a bad year for Florida Dems, all of the statewide candidates won the county handily besides Sean Shaw who lost the Attorney General race to Ashley Moody by a big margin but in Hillsborough he only lost by 6,000 votes. It's not Orange County yet but in a few cycles it will be.
I agree with you on Pinellas though.
Why is Pinellas more swingy than Hillsborough anyway?
