What signs in the early returns in FL on Election Night will indicate Biden or Trump will win it?

[Use Your Illusion]

For Trump it's gonna be very easy to tell if he won early because he will carry the late returns on the panhandle by like 75%

If he gets a sizeable lead on Biden that maintains before Duval, Hillsborough, Pinellas, Orange, Broward and Miami-Dade counties are even done counting, then Biden is screwed because it means he has not only underperformed in the major counties but as well as in the rest of the state. The only way to tell Biden is gonna win early is if he is absolutely annihilating Trump from the get go. Like 225,000 votes annihilated and the lead holds while all those huge counties have only counted like 20% of their vote. The final figures will end up much closer, but the only way Biden is gonna win is if he gets the average non city voter to swing his way.


With Florida you gotta realize there's the major metro regions and everywhere else and the rest of the state combined plus any Republican vote from those metro areas is always the bigger number.

[Use Your Illusion]

To be honest there really aren't any reliable ones. What mattered in 2016 led many people to believe Gillum and Nelson would win comfortably based on early returns in 2018 when they led easily in Pinellas County and also had leads in Duval, Seminole, and St. Lucie Counties. It ended up not mattering since they underperformed Clinton a lot in Miami-Dade.

Add in that the early returns this year will probably be heavily Republican-skewed with most Democrats voting by mail, and you just won't have really good indicators.

Florida can count mail ballots before Election Day so we’ll have 98% of the state probably that night.

sh**t I didn't even consider that. That's true too

[Use Your Illusion]

As a lifelong Pasco County resident, I can attest to the accuracy of these statements too



Edit: however Trump is going to absolutely dominate Pasco. Look for him to win by no less than 50,000 votes. He is a ing G.O.D to these people here

[Use Your Illusion]

As a lifelong Pasco County resident, I can attest to the accuracy of these statements too



Edit: however Trump is going to absolutely dominate Pasco. Look for him to win by no less than 50,000 votes. He is a ing G.O.D to these people here

Isn't Pasco County that one on Live PD where white people are constantly getting arrested outside of bars?  If so, it definitely seems like Trump Country.

I'll just leave this here

https://www.tmz.com/2020/07/11/karen-calls-black-woman-a-good-little-slave-for-wearing-mask-at-bus-stop/?fbclid=IwAR2LKV8DqrLO4E48aqNjdPrVN1h8oHQyZKHH_tQNvVBP-pg3YMZ9Bm5_Mpc

Read at your own risk of killing brain cells

[Use Your Illusion]

As a lifelong Pasco County resident, I can attest to the accuracy of these statements too



Edit: however Trump is going to absolutely dominate Pasco. Look for him to win by no less than 50,000 votes. He is a ing G.O.D to these people here

Why has the county become so red since 2012? It's been Republican for a long time but used to be more purple. A lot of Midwestern retirees moving there who fit the same political box as those in The Villages and Southwest Florida?

Forgive me for starting off this post this way (insert ACKCHEWALLY meme here) but Pasco stopped being purple/competitive around 2000 and was full-fledged red in suburban areas by 2004. It's less about midwest retirees moving in and more like the local suburban populous that's grown up there or moved there for the last 20 years just exploded in the stereotypical "MERICA!!" department that favors conservatives after 9/11. Once that happened, your average middle-class person in a place like Land O' Lakes or Wesley Chapel is a "faith, guns, family, country" person with the white picket fence and 2 dogs in their yard and a "W '04" sticker on both their cars it just never stopped being that way and growing that way. The same applies to other areas like the Port Richey and Hudson. Although generally lower in income, those who would qualify as "blue-collar" are disproportionately Republican. Like at least 80% of them.

If you say anything remotely negative about Trump above a whisper any of these people would bust through the wall like the freaking Kool-Aid man with some sh**t they heard on Fox News. They DO NOT want to hear it.