What signs in the early returns in FL on Election Night will indicate Biden or Trump will win it?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

If Biden doesn't lead by 4%+ before the Panhandle comes it.....then Trump is winning the state

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

To be honest there really aren't any reliable ones. What mattered in 2016 led many people to believe Gillum and Nelson would win comfortably based on early returns in 2018 when they led easily in Pinellas County and also had leads in Duval, Seminole, and St. Lucie Counties. It ended up not mattering since they underperformed Clinton a lot in Miami-Dade.

Add in that the early returns this year will probably be heavily Republican-skewed with most Democrats voting by mail, and you just won't have really good indicators.

This site says they can start Election Day: https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/vopp-table-16-when-absentee-mail-ballot-processing-and-counting-can-begin.aspx

Florida can count mail ballots before Election Day so we’ll have 98% of the state probably that night.

Yeah we have been doing this for 20 years now we're good at counting votes early. We should have almost all the state reporting on E-night

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Watch the swing counties. Counties like Pinellas, Duval and Hillsborough to a lesser extent might give some early clues as to who will win the state. Biden will probably win the state if he wins Duval and Trump will almost certainly win the state if he wins Pinellas and/or Hillsborough.

I think whoever wins Pinellas wins Florida.

Not necessarily true Charlie Crist won Pinellas in 2014, Andrew Gillum and Bill Nelson won Pinellas County in 2018. Now you can argue that Charlie Crist winning it was not a big deal because he's from that area so of course he would do well in it but winning Pinellas does not necessarily equate victory in the state.