AK-SEN 2022: A Rank Choice (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 05:40:15 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  AK-SEN 2022: A Rank Choice (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: AK-SEN 2022: A Rank Choice  (Read 18751 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: July 09, 2020, 12:46:37 PM »

Good, hopefully we have 2 Ds in AK
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: July 09, 2020, 12:49:14 PM »

If Ds get anywhere near 55 seats, in 2020, not only will they pass DC statehood,  they will pass PR statehood . Locking out Rs to regain majority in 2022 or 2024.

It would of happened in 2009, but Obama blundered
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: July 09, 2020, 02:18:55 PM »

Murkowski voted to acquit Trump, that wasnt very independent of her
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: July 09, 2020, 05:24:05 PM »

I think this is being read into a little more than it should. I don't think you can count out the particular bad timing of this poll given Murkowski's past month. I think when all is said and done Murkowski has more cards up her sleeve and more leverage in being re-elected than she doesn't. I think this is more of a reflection of the confluence of her position in GOP + how bad GOP brand is now/huge Dem advantage in the generic ballot. At the end of the day, I think Alaskan Independents are more inclined to support her in two years than what the poll reflects now

She voted to.acquit Trump and say that to Dan Sullivan whom is in a tight race with Gross.

Rs think that this is 2016, 1992, 96, 2006, 08, 12 and 2018 prove Ds can win 50 states not just 278
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2020, 05:06:22 AM »

AK is leaning red
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2021, 04:41:42 PM »

Murkowski is gonna win, there is no question about it Safe R
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: March 07, 2021, 12:01:48 PM »

I hope she loses, she didn't give us 1 vote on Stimulus and she voted for ACB and neither did Romney or Collins. Collins really fooled her constituents, she prouded herself as a Maverick and voted against ACB and she is back to Obstructing. Doesn't she knows that Olympia Snowe had to retire, polls were showing she was gonna lose in 2012, Collins will lose and so will Ernst in 2026
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: March 29, 2021, 04:25:00 PM »
« Edited: March 30, 2021, 06:28:37 AM by Brittain33 »

https://www.yahoo.com/news/murkowski-faces-republican-challenger-drawing-172329443.html
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: March 29, 2021, 11:52:44 PM »

I wouldn't underestimate a challenge to Murkowski, we are in am anti INCUMBENT mood, it's possible that any challenger to Murkowski can win

I don't care about Murkowski, she voting to block everything
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: April 27, 2021, 04:21:04 AM »

The only way a Manchin endorsement works out is if Murkowski wins, and she switches parties afterwards, otherwise it's a waste of time for everyone involved. It hurts Murkowski to accept endorsements from Democrats (If I were her, I'd disavow this, unless of course, no Democrats actually run against her, which is possible, I suppose), and it hurts Manchin too, since he won't win a single Republican going forward, and Republicans hate Murkowski anyways. If he wants to curry favor with Republicans, he should be endorsing Marjorie Taylor Greene and Paul Gosar, not Murkowski.


The primary is next yr too so it's a long way til the primarues, anything can happen
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: June 18, 2021, 09:37:45 PM »

Dems need to make it very clear to Murkowski that if she votes for DC statehood and voting rights, they'll back her reelection, otherwise it's 3rd place for her.

AK has UBI benefits and she voted against Biden stimulus bill and Gross can win, he lost to Sullivan, if Kelly is the Nominee in a blue Tsunami, we can win this seat again a female Trump
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: June 18, 2021, 11:40:35 PM »

I feel like she'd have a better shot if she switched parties, hell even become independent and caucus with neither party.

Murkowski father lives in Seattle still has influence on Lisa life, she already said she won't be a Dem

Why doesn't Collins become a D, she is gone in 2026 against Troy Jackson she is 70 yrs old
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #12 on: June 20, 2021, 02:44:14 PM »

I show no interest in saving Murkowski, I have already endorsed Gross whom makes the runoff against Kelly
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #13 on: June 21, 2021, 10:03:59 AM »
« Edited: June 21, 2021, 10:10:29 AM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Dems need to make it very clear to Murkowski that if she votes for DC statehood and voting rights, they'll back her reelection, otherwise it's 3rd place for her.

In other words, if she becomes a Democrat, the Democrats will back her re-election.

You don't need to become a Dem for supporting a few common sense policies that should be normal in a functioning democracy. That said, it would be a win-win for Dems and Murkowski. As simple as that.

DC statehood is not "common sense", nor is HR1. Both of them are unconstitutional. Their purpose is to lock in Democratic electoral and legislative majorities permanently. If any Republican votes for them, they should just switch parties and stop the charade.

If D's hold the H and get 52/48 Senate D's can pass HR 1 and DC Statehood

If we lose 6 seats out of TX and FL we can make up for it in Cali, NY and IL


Rs aren't gonna win 20 seats out of TX and FL forget it, Cox polls and R polls have gone down in Cali due to McCarthy blocking the Commission, we can win the 4 seats back in Cali we lost in 2020

We already have a 6 seat Majority

R packed the Crts by stealing the Scalia seat from Obama and Trump Jr got Kennedy to retire, the hypocrisy of Rs

SCOTUS still gonna rule on those two cases HR 1 and DC Statehood, Crts have Judicial Review over cases if they're not passed thru Amendment and Thomas, Alito and Gorsuch are Nos due to Citizens United, we don't know what ACB will do
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #14 on: June 21, 2021, 03:30:13 PM »

She already said she isn't changing parties
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #15 on: June 25, 2021, 03:49:52 AM »

Users don't like to admit that Rs stole the 3 judgeships, Scalia was Obama pick, ACB should of waited til Biden gotten in office and Kennedy was forced to retire, but they are that D's want power due to Statehood.

Then, Hillary Clinton was cleared of Benghazi and the Rs stole 2016 with cyber help from Russia, I listened to Cruz floor speech after HR 1 due to Sinema not Manchin and he lies again and said Rs never did anything to keep power, hypocrisy
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #16 on: July 11, 2021, 05:25:22 PM »

I think Gross steals this race at the end of the night, this is like the Joe Miller race of 2016 Kelly is untested, and knocks out the Rs strongest opponent in Murkowski
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #17 on: July 12, 2021, 07:13:24 PM »

I am kind of glad that Garland didn't get the Judgeship he has been disappointing as AG by defending Trump in a Deformation Law suit and failing to go after Trump on Obstructing Justice for Ukraine probe, we thought the Justice Dept was gonna prosecute Trump and so far they haven't.

Now, we know why Doug Jones wasn't selected as AG, he was an independent

Every AG have been disappointing Reno, Gonzalez, Holder, Barr and now Garland
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #18 on: February 14, 2022, 01:56:35 AM »

Murkowski is gonna vote for Michelle Childs anyways that's why she win
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #19 on: March 10, 2022, 03:06:56 PM »
« Edited: March 10, 2022, 03:18:25 PM by SOCIALIST MR BAKARI SELLERS »

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/sen-lisa-murkowski-now-conflicted-145505670.html



She is not safe as users think she can lose the Runoff or lose to the Trumpian candidate as Elvi is Pummeled her on Filibuster of Voting Rights, there hasn't been any polls in AK

She only won in 2016 due to Joe Miller

One thing we have to watch out for as D's is that many of these Approvals underpoll females and Minorities just like QU it's a Ivy League school there are no minorities that go to Quinnepiac University
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #20 on: March 25, 2022, 08:26:58 PM »

This only confirms the 303 map we will win 50 seats NV, NH, PA, AZ whil WI a pure Tossup and LA and GA are Runoff stated

Pull out of OH, NC already and reaffirm the blue 🧱🧱🧱
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #21 on: March 27, 2022, 10:21:21 PM »

Manchin already endorsed Murkowski, the D's are targeting Rubio and Demings since Crist is tied in FL, thats where the money is going

FL is not going red like TX it's a purple states

D's are targeting OH, FL, LA, MO and NC and combo of these will give us wave insurance for the S and right now D's are tied in M, FL and perhaps LA wit Chambers and Mixon pushing it to a RunoffO

We had a FL poll that showed GAETZ down that's a given because Trump only won FL because he overperformed in Miami Dade Rs aren't winning FL by 22, TX yes Beto is gonna get slaughtered

I am not even receiving text about TX anymore but FL yes
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #22 on: April 01, 2022, 08:59:04 PM »
« Edited: April 01, 2022, 09:02:44 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Begich, Walsh and Natalie Tennant and Landrieu all loss because Obama vetoed Keystone pipeline bill not because Murkowski did something to Begich just like this War in Ukraine is helping Rs in the H because D's losses are gonna be in OH, FL and TX

Look whom was Veep while Obama was Prez Biden whom wants no parts of Keystone

Bullock lost to Daines due to Biden pledge not to renew Keystone, pil executive gave Biden on Day 1of his Prez a new lease on Keystone but imported more oil from Russia until the Ukraine war


I oppose Keystone but we aren't lowering gas prices because BBB and Green energy was blocked by Rs and Manchin
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #23 on: April 06, 2022, 07:58:24 AM »

Murkowski is DONE anyways she hurt D's and she went out of her way to go against Palin she Filibuster Voting Rights anyways, it's nice she blacked KBJ but when it counted she denied Voting Rights she doesn't own this office she's been in office all her life she is still an R because her father Frank was a partisan R and backed impeachment of Clinton
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,722
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #24 on: April 15, 2022, 03:12:01 PM »

All the Red states are safe R no matter what , that's why they stopped polling D's in red states Beasley is going to lose that tells you the whole story on Red State

I don't care if Murkowski loses she blindsided us by voting against the Filibuster reform on John Lewis
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.042 seconds with 12 queries.