NC-PPP: Biden +4

[LimoLiberal]

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NorthCarolinaResults7920.pdf

Biden - 50
Trump - 46

Their last NC poll had Biden +2 (48-46).

[Person Man]

I believe it. That's puts us nationally at Biden +8-10.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Undecided 5%

July 7-8, 2020
818 voters
MoE: 3.4%

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Seems reasonable, given the roughly Biden +9 environment nationally.

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, but Biden shouldn’t "gamble" on NC/FL/GA/TX. Gotta go for that double-digit margin in WI/MI/PA/IA first.

[wbrocks67]

Trump at 3% with Black voters.... you love to see it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Since Gary Johnson was the vote difference in FL, AZ, NC, MI, PA and WI which was plus or minus 4 percent, Trump is gonna lose all 6 states. Since unemployment is 10 pts higher than it was in 2016

[jamestroll]

Yeah, but Biden shouldn’t "gamble" on NC/FL/GA/TX. Gotta go for that double-digit margin in WI/MI/PA/IA first.

A double digit win for Biden is possible in Michigan or Pennsylvania but I would not bet money on it. Wisconsin will be single digits and I do not think Biden will win Iowa.

[libertpaulian]

They should have polled the Governor race.

[ProudModerate2]

AZ, NC and FL look ripe-for-the-picking for Biden in 2020.

[Landslide Lyndon]

They should have polled the Governor race.

They usually do the whole thing (President, Senate, Governor). Maybe they'll release the rest tomorrow.

[Vern]

They should have polled the Governor race.

They usually do the whole thing (President, Senate, Governor). Maybe they'll release the rest tomorrow.

They might be releasing the governor’s numbers was some local state races tomorrow.

[Roronoa D. Law]

NC probably jumped the gun in 2008. It starting to look like this is the year it starts following Virginia.

[Vern]

NC probably jumped the gun in 2008. It starting to look like this is the year it starts following Virginia.

I think people also forget In 2016 that a lot of the eastern areas of NC were effected by Hurricane Matthew.

[TexasDemocrat]

Yeah, but Biden shouldn’t "gamble" on NC/FL/GA/TX. Gotta go for that double-digit margin in WI/MI/PA/IA first.

You can't know how states will vote relative to the nation with enough precision to say that. Florida voted less than 1 point to the right of WI/MI/PA in 2016. For example, Iowa voted 2 points to the left of the nation in 2012 but 11 points to the right in 2016! Michigan and Maine had similarly large changes. We can be pretty confident that Texas will be pretty far to the right of the rest of the bunch, but the others are close enough that they're all worth pursuing, and not just for style points. They represent legitimate paths to victory in a close election

[Progressive Pessimist]

Don't disappoint me again, Tarheels!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Don't disappoint me again, Tarheels!

Don't worry, they're not playing Duke.

(*ducks*)

[BlueSwan]

Trump at 3% with Black voters.... you love to see it

Yeah, black people really souring on Uncle Joe after that "You ain't black" gaffe.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Yeah, but Biden shouldn’t "gamble" on NC/FL/GA/TX. Gotta go for that double-digit margin in WI/MI/PA/IA first.

Exactly, it's just not ready yet. There's always 2024 to try flipping them. Then again, Mike Pence & Nikki Haley may run next time.

Hmmm...too risky. Perhaps 2028 when Ted Cruz or Tom Cotton could run.

Nah, that's even riskier. Maybe 2032 when the GOP might turn more centrist and can compete in suburban areas again.

You know what, just don't even try in those states. The future of Democrats lie in the same suburban whites in MI/PA/WI anyway.