I believe he surely wins re-election because the French economy is getting better and better with a decreasing unemployment rate that has gone down from . In addition, according to the website Trading Economics, despite Covid-19, the unemployment rate in declined from 8.1 % in February 2020 to 7.8 % in May 2020. Usually, a growing economy benefits the incumbent.
https://tradingeconomics.com/france/unemployment-rate
Do you know anything about the political situation in France other than what you just googled? That's not exactly a robust analysis.
