Astatine
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,879
Political Matrix E: -0.72, S: -5.90
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« on: July 09, 2020, 11:11:30 AM » |
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Probably yes. With his new cabinet, he basically sucked up the whole Republican Party. They have hardly any high-profile candidates to run.
So he clears up the center and some of the center-right, putting him somewhere between 25 and 30 %. Le Pen will get 20 %. Melenchon lost support in recent times, due to controbersial comments, and with the rise of the Greens/EELV, the left will likely be too divided once again to send a candidate to the runoff.
Barring of course that Macron's will plummet Hollande-style, then he coule be challanged within his party (Maybe Ex PM Edouard Philippe, he is quite popular?).
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