Will Macron get reelected?

[Coldstream]

He’s still far less hated than everyone else. He’s effectively coopted the entirety of the centre, centre right and centre left minus the Greens and rump Socialists/Republicans and none of them are likely to overhaul him by 2022. I query how real Phillippe’s popularity is, I think he’s more likeable than Macron but I don’t think he’s got enough to take the presidency from him (if we’re looking it in 2017 terms he’s more Valls than Macron). Though it’s not impossible, I’d say Macron’s only chance to lose is if another candidate emerges that can take up the centre/centre right lane, but it’s not likely.

The only candidate who could really get in to the run off besides him is Le Pen, and Macron will beat her again. Melenchon is too disliked to come second unless another far right candidate can pull support away from Le Pen in the first round, which doesn’t seem likely.