brucejoel99
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Posts: 19,720
Political Matrix E: -3.48, S: -3.30
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« on: July 09, 2020, 11:38:24 AM » |
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So long as he's able to keep his shaky coalition together (that is, unless something monumental happens that causes his government to collapse), Macron will most likely make it into the 2nd round & then win again. Despite how unpopular he is, literally every other leader of every other party & movement is significantly more unpopular: Le Pen voters won't vote for Mélenchon; Mélenchon voters won't vote for Le Pen; Republican voters could split between Macron & Le Pen, but they won't vote for Mélenchon. For the left, keeping a fascist out is more important than ending austerity (though if things keep getting worse, I'm not sure that's sustainable).
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