Will Macron get reelected? (user search)
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  Will Macron get reelected? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Will Macron get reelected?  (Read 6920 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« on: July 09, 2020, 09:26:03 AM »

Emmanuel Macron has quickly lost popularity after taking office, and his party didn't do well in local elections this year. As I'm not that much into French politics, what are his chances to get reelected in April 2022? Unpopularity alone might not lead to automatic defeat if he maintains enough support to advance to the runoff and face a weak or unacceptable challenger in the 2nd round.

If I'm not mistaken, he's likely to face Marine LePen again in a runoff. I doubt she's able to win, but might improve compared to 2017. As in several other European countries, the French left seems to be dead, especially the social democratic lane. Not sure what to make of "Les Republicans" as it appears they have issues of their own and lack a clear leader who could launch a serious challenge to both Macron and take votes from the far-right.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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Posts: 22,703
United States



« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2020, 09:21:48 AM »

Regardless of if he wins or not, his party and movement won’t survive him right? Isn’t that always the case with personality parties? I can’t think of a personality party that outlasted the person. Help me find an example...

The bigger question here would be, which party takes its place? The National Front de facto replaced Les Republicans as major force on the right side of the political spectrum. On the left, the Hollande's PS is de facto dead. The far-left alone is too weak for majority as well. Maybe the Greens? France is a prime example how the main political conflict is no longer between social democracy and classical conservatism, but has shifted to globalism vs. nationalism.
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