Wow. A 12% shift right now from 2015.
Even more interesting: Only 6% of whites are undecided. 11% of 'other race' are undecided. So this could really be a tight one, since that group is majorly lean Biden.
*rolls eyes*
23% of the respondents are ‘other race’. 11% of them are undecided.
That’s 2.5% of the electorate.
77% of the respondents are white. 6% of them are undecided.
That’s 4.6% of the electorate.
I can’t believe I have to explain this.
What I'm saying is, you could have a very close race if say, the undecided White vote breaks 50-50, and the undecided "other race" vote breaks like 75/25 Biden.
Of course. But the ‘other race’ wouldn’t tip the race in favor of Biden if he trails by, say, 12 points among white undecideds. That’s what I was saying.
However, I think, unless things get worse, the undecideds will largely break for Trump, something like 60-40.
Undecided breaking for Trump and Trump is 10 pts down in a Rassy poll
Wake me up when Trump gets within 2 pts of Biden. He hasnt been close since Covid 19.
