2020: Jay Nixon vs. Donald Trump

[President Johnson]

If former Missouri governor Jay Nixon somehow won the Democratic nomination, how would he do in the general election? Assuming nothung fundamentally changes.

[NewYorkExpress]

Before Ferguson, Nixon would have been seen as a potentially strong candidate. After, I doubt he could win a Democratic Senate primary in Missouri, let alone a Presidential nomination.

If he did win the nomination...

Donald Trump/Mike Pence 49% 289 EV
Jay Nixon/Doug Jones 48% 249 EV

[President Johnson]

Before Ferguson, Nixon would have been seen as a potentially strong candidate. After, I doubt he could win a Democratic Senate primary in Missouri, let alone a Presidential nomination.

If he did win the nomination...

Donald Trump/Mike Pence 49% 289 EV
Jay Nixon/Doug Jones 48% 249 EV

I doubt he would win Missouri, to be honest. But he wouldn't win there and in Iowa, while losing the whole Rust Belt.

[NewYorkExpress]

Before Ferguson, Nixon would have been seen as a potentially strong candidate. After, I doubt he could win a Democratic Senate primary in Missouri, let alone a Presidential nomination.

If he did win the nomination...

Donald Trump/Mike Pence 49% 289 EV
Jay Nixon/Doug Jones 48% 249 EV

I doubt he would win Missouri, to be honest. But he wouldn't win there and in Iowa, while losing the whole Rust Belt.

Nixon's a weaker nominee than Hillary, and I only gave him Missouri because it's his home state and Iowa and NE-2 because of regional proximity. He might well lose all three.

It's also possible that he flips Wisconsin and Michigan, but not Missouri and Iowa, but Trump probably still carries Pennsylvania and Ohio no matter what here.

[bagelman]

Before Ferguson, Nixon would have been seen as a potentially strong candidate. After, I doubt he could win a Democratic Senate primary in Missouri, let alone a Presidential nomination.

If he did win the nomination...

snip

I doubt he would win Missouri, to be honest. But he wouldn't win there and in Iowa, while losing the whole Rust Belt.

Nixon's a weaker nominee than Hillary, and I only gave him Missouri because it's his home state and Iowa and NE-2 because of regional proximity. He might well lose all three.

It's also possible that he flips Wisconsin and Michigan, but not Missouri and Iowa, but Trump probably still carries Pennsylvania and Ohio no matter what here.

What a load of sh**t. The idea that MO could vote to the left of MI, home state or no, is insulting to the intelligence of this forum. You may as well post Doug Jones winning AL while losing MN against Trump.

[TrumpBritt24]

301-237, Nixon.