As probably the only poll I actually trust (say what you want but Trafalgar tends to get it right lately) I gotta say that doesn't bode well for Trump but it is very, very early... But truth be told he doesn't need PA. If he holds OH, WI, FL and AZ he's getting 270 exactly and can still lose MI all day.
At this point, it's still Trump's election to lose. Opponents of the incumbent always oversaturate polls all election cycle
If Trump has to rely on AZ to put him over the top he’s even more screwed than I thought.