TX-UTexas/YouGov: Trump +4 (user search)

wbrocks67
Atlas Star

Posts: 22,245

Re: TX-UTexas/YouGov: Trump +4

« on: July 02, 2020, 09:21:32 AM »

Hmm.... comes down to Independents. Trump won them by 14% in 2016, and O'Rourke won them by 3% in 2018.

This has Trump winning them again by 14% which seems... unlikely.

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wbrocks67
Atlas Star

Posts: 22,245

Re: TX-UTexas/YouGov: Trump +4

« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2020, 09:28:21 AM »

Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on July 02, 2020, 09:23:15 AM

Conducted by YouGov and the University of Texas for the Texas Politics Project.

Undecided 8%

MoE: 2.89%

YouGov... that explains a lot

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wbrocks67
Atlas Star

Posts: 22,245

Re: TX-UTexas/YouGov: Trump +4

« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2020, 09:48:56 AM »

Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on July 02, 2020, 09:29:00 AM

Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 02, 2020, 09:28:21 AM

Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on July 02, 2020, 09:23:15 AM

Conducted by YouGov and the University of Texas for the Texas Politics Project.

Undecided 8%

MoE: 2.89%

YouGov... that explains a lot

What?

I should've been more specific to the Independents issue. YouGov has oddly been very favorable to Trump on the indies crosstab for a while now. A lot of times still showing Trump winning in their national polls. Not sure why, but their Indie sample tends to be R-leaning typically. Which would explain how Trump is winning by 14% here.

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