Pure tossup and Democrats need to go all-in on flipping this, not only are these 38 electoral votes, basically the nail in the coffin for Trump's hopes, but there's also a key Senate race, and the state House is up for grabs, which would give Democrats two years of divided government. Not to mention, finally flipping TX, would finally convince a lot of the state's top Democratic politicians that it isn't fools gold and maybe they'd be willing to put in some effort in the 2022 midterms.
Regarding extremes, I lean towards this over "Don't even lift a finger. If It flips, Biden is winning nationally anyway".
I'm of the belief that, besides a President Biden, the most consequential thing Democrats can do this election is solidify their groundwork in Texas. That includes investing into flipping the State House and flipping the handfuls of US House seats that seem to be easier to grab by the week. If even half the effort is put in, I can see Democrats in prime position to give the Texas GOP & Ted Cruz a scare in the 2022 AG/Lt. Gov races and 2024 Senate race (Even if Biden somehow faces a cataclysmic Midterm)
This is true, although our most important task is defeating Trump, which is obviously done by flipping states that are far more likely to go for Biden. Concentrate resources in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Arizona to make sure these states go blue. With leftover resources, target FL, GA, NC, TX, etc.
Restoring the upper midwest is the easiest path to the Presidency for Biden. It flipped back by giant margins in 2016, and if it slips away again this time I believe it will have been preventable.
