CO (PPP) - Hickenlooper +11 (user search)
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  CO (PPP) - Hickenlooper +11 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO (PPP) - Hickenlooper +11  (Read 1305 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 36,667
United States


« on: July 01, 2020, 01:16:24 PM »

That’s about right.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 01, 2020, 01:31:02 PM »

I think we're gonna get a smaller than expected Hick win, but he's gonna win.

I can buy a 2014-style win when Biden wins by 8 statewide and 5 or 6 nationwide where Biden wins around midnite or 1 AM and the last state to be called is Florida.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2020, 02:59:41 PM »

The thing is, Gardner "condemning" Trump or "apologizing" for his voting record would result in Gardner losing a ton of Republican votes and winning over a completely negligible number of Biden voters. The (boring) truth is that Gardner was always going to be a one-termer unless you thought that this was going to be a Republican wave year and that he would be facing an opponent far worse than Udall.

It could still be if the economy is already "close" to full employment by November (say under 8%) and Biden runs a really bad campaign. Maybe even then, Gardner would Hick to be a bad candidate and perhaps he's not a good candidate but he is OK no matter how you slice it...maybe just OK but that's not weak enough.
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