In which states will Biden break 60%?
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  In which states will Biden break 60%?
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Question: In which states will Biden win >=60 of the vote%?
#1
Hawaii
 
#2
California
 
#3
Maryland
 
#4
Massachusetts
 
#5
New York
 
#6
Vermont
 
#7
Illinois
 
#8
New Jersey
 
#9
Connecticut
 
#10
Rhode Island
 
#11
Delaware
 
#12
Washington
 
#13
Oregon
 
#14
ME-1
 
#15
Other state(s)
 
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Total Voters: 50

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Author Topic: In which states will Biden break 60%?  (Read 420 times)
Orser67
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 30, 2020, 09:44:13 PM »

In which states will Biden break 60% of the vote? In the poll, I listed every state (+ME-1) where Clinton won at least 50%; I think it goes without saying that he'll break 60% in DC.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2020, 09:49:20 PM »

All of these except Oregon (gets high 50s there)
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #2 on: June 30, 2020, 09:51:08 PM »

HI, VT, MA, MD, NY, and CA seem like safe bets. Delaware seems reasonably likely as long as Biden gets a decent home-state boost there. Rhode Island and Connecticut probably a bit less certain than the others, but still decently likely. Illinois, Washington, and New Jersey would be a stretch, but are possible. Oregon seems quite unlikely.

I don't know enough about the elasticity of ME-1 to really comment on it, but I guess it's possible.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #3 on: June 30, 2020, 10:21:36 PM »

DC, Hawaii, California, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Vermont, Illinois, New Jersey, & Delaware.
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iceman
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« Reply #4 on: July 01, 2020, 05:24:00 AM »

Nah, Washington and New Jersey seems like a stretch.... probably only around 58-59%

for sure New York, Maryland, Massachusetts and Delaware

probably hits 70% in Hawaii and California as Trump is so despised there.
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Chips
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« Reply #5 on: July 01, 2020, 05:30:17 AM »

VT
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
CA
MD
HI
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #6 on: July 01, 2020, 07:24:51 AM »

Joe Biden will easily get 60% or more Massachusetts, Maryland, California, Illinois, Delaware, Hawaii, Vermont, Washington, and Oregon. New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, ME-1, and Oregon will be around 57-59% wins for Joe Biden while Rhode Island will probably be around a 55% win for Joe Biden due to Donald Trumps continued popularity with white Catholic, white working class, and Italian American voters (all three groups make up the majority of voters in Rhode Island).
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: July 01, 2020, 07:32:42 AM »

Joe Biden will easily get 60% or more Massachusetts, Maryland, California, Illinois, Delaware, Hawaii, Vermont, Washington, and Oregon. New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, ME-1, and Oregon will be around 57-59% wins for Joe Biden while Rhode Island will probably be around a 55% win for Joe Biden due to Donald Trumps continued popularity with white Catholic, white working class, and Italian American voters (all three groups make up the majority of voters in Rhode Island).

Your point about Rhode Island is kind of ironic, given that Biden grew up working-class and is a white Catholic.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #8 on: July 01, 2020, 07:38:25 AM »

Joe Biden will easily get 60% or more Massachusetts, Maryland, California, Illinois, Delaware, Hawaii, Vermont, Washington, and Oregon. New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, ME-1, and Oregon will be around 57-59% wins for Joe Biden while Rhode Island will probably be around a 55% win for Joe Biden due to Donald Trumps continued popularity with white Catholic, white working class, and Italian American voters (all three groups make up the majority of voters in Rhode Island).

Your point about Rhode Island is kind of ironic, given that Biden grew up working-class and is a white Catholic.
President Donald Trump is still extremely popular among working class Catholic voters in the Northeast and Midwest (due to the fact that he is sympathetic to the Orthodox Catholic position on most policy issues) and Rhode Island trended Republican for the first time in over 30 years in 2016, so I feel that Donald Trump will improve on his performance there this year. Joe Biden personality-wise also doesn’t really seem like as good of a fit for Rhode Island when compared to past Democratic nominees.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #9 on: July 01, 2020, 10:08:20 AM »

NJ, CT, OR: No

WA, IL, RI: Maybe

The others: Yes
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #10 on: July 01, 2020, 11:48:20 AM »

California

Hawaii

Vermont

Massachusetts

Maryland
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