PA (FOX 43): Biden +5 (user search)
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  PA (FOX 43): Biden +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA (FOX 43): Biden +5  (Read 1833 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: June 29, 2020, 01:38:01 PM »

Eh, just seems questionable. Somehow there is more undecided voters here than in April?!

Also, I don't buy the Wolf +7 approval, either. I don't expect the margins that were coming from April, but even before all of this, he was regularly in the 50s.

Susquehanna's not the best, so just throw it in the average
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2020, 03:50:13 PM »

It collaborates a story where Pennsylvania has become a Tilt R state in a Likely D environment.

how is Biden +5 tilt R?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: June 30, 2020, 05:05:55 AM »

This polls education sample is off, it has 52% with a bachelor degree or higher, including 24% with a post-grad degree, those numbers are way to high, as of the 2018 ACS, 34% of adults in PA had a bachelor degree or higher, among RV's it would be somewhat higher, and more educated voters turn out at a somewhat higher rate, but the share in this poll should be in the mid 30's, the 2018 exit polls had 39% of voters in PA having a bachelor's degree or higher.

Um, no. There's no way that this poll is somehow skewed towards Biden looking at those #s. If anything, it's the other way around, since the numbers for Dems all around are much lower than elsewhere (Wolf's +7 approval tells us this)
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