PA (FOX 43): Biden +5 (user search)
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  PA (FOX 43): Biden +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA (FOX 43): Biden +5  (Read 1850 times)
Annatar
Jr. Member
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Posts: 982
Australia


« on: June 29, 2020, 10:05:50 PM »

This polls education sample is off, it has 52% with a bachelor degree or higher, including 24% with a post-grad degree, those numbers are way to high, as of the 2018 ACS, 34% of adults in PA had a bachelor degree or higher, among RV's it would be somewhat higher, and more educated voters turn out at a somewhat higher rate, but the share in this poll should be in the mid 30's, the 2018 exit polls had 39% of voters in PA having a bachelor's degree or higher.
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Annatar
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 982
Australia


« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2020, 08:09:54 AM »

This polls education sample is off, it has 52% with a bachelor degree or higher, including 24% with a post-grad degree, those numbers are way to high, as of the 2018 ACS, 34% of adults in PA had a bachelor degree or higher, among RV's it would be somewhat higher, and more educated voters turn out at a somewhat higher rate, but the share in this poll should be in the mid 30's, the 2018 exit polls had 39% of voters in PA having a bachelor's degree or higher.

Um, no. There's no way that this poll is somehow skewed towards Biden looking at those #s. If anything, it's the other way around, since the numbers for Dems all around are much lower than elsewhere (Wolf's +7 approval tells us this)

I'm not saying anything about whether it is skewed or not, I was just pointing out the education level in the poll is to high.
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