Firehouse/Optimus: Biden +4

[LimoLiberal]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1277733029256073216

Biden +9 (52-43) last week.

[Gass3268]

This pollster is random af.

[wbrocks67]

So they went from 95% decided to 86% decided. Totally normal.

Not to mention their GCB was stagnant for WEEKS, if not months, at like D+7-9. And now that fell to D+3?

It feels like all of the trash pollsters are coming out of the woodwork to set a narrative in the past few days.

[CellarDoor]

So they went from 95% decided to 86% decided. Totally normal.

Not to mention their GCB was stagnant for WEEKS, if not months, at like D+7-9. And now that fell to D+3?

It feels like all of the trash pollsters are coming out of the woodwork to set a narrative in the past few days.

Yep.  All the high-quality polls are saying the same thing.  These partisan pollsters are all over the map. 

[wbrocks67]

Can we also talk about how this is Biden +10 among adults, but Biden +4 with "likely" voters?

[Ferguson97]

Can we also talk about how this is Biden +10 among adults, but Biden +4 with "likely" voters?

Eh that's a larger than normal gap, but it's consistent. You get less liberal as the sample goes from adult --> registered voter --> likely voter

[LimoLiberal]

No need to unskew. Just put it into the average.

[Lief 🗽]

Multiple polls now showing Biden losing support over the last week. Worrying.

[Buzz]

Biden collapse.  Time to call in Hillary. /s

[wbrocks67]

Multiple polls now showing Biden losing support over the last week. Worrying.

And yet he's at his highest support in Georgia at the same time.

[Illini Moderate]

Obviously I never thought that Biden's sky high leads would hold all the way, but a 7 point drop in support is concerning. I think some of the decline is just noise, but we will have to see.

[Devout Centrist]

   
Firehouse/Optimus: Biden +4.3%

[WD]

Oh god, is Biden collapsing? I’m kinda worried. Or is this just noise?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Oh god, is Biden collapsing? I’m kinda worried. Or is this just noise?

The MoEs on these Firehouse polls have bee pretty high in the past, though I notice this one's for the full sample of adults (not the subsample of likely voters) is only 4.5%.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Good rule to go by: Has there been any news since their last poll that would suggest the race should be getting closer? If not, then they're probably wrong. Common sense, people.

[Buzz]

Biden obviously isn't collapsing, but also people shouldn't have believed the silly +14 polls put out in the last few weeks.  Biden is probably up 6-8 points ATM.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Good rule to go by: Has there been any news since their last poll that would suggest the race should be getting closer? If not, then they're probably wrong. Common sense, people.

This 100%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah the DC Statehood talk and Supermajority talk was presumptive

[Illiniwek]

Looks like the race has slid back from 10-14% to 4-8%. It was bound to happen. Hopefully it doesn’t get any closer than this.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Looks like Biden has to get out of his basement and start talking in front of rallies, or his polls gonna further decline

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Biden’s lead in the 538 average has dropped from 9.6% to 9.3% over the past few days.  This seems like a reasonable reaction to polls like this.

[GlobeSoc]

WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIE TRASH POLLSTERS ARE SAYING THE RACE IS TIGHTENING TRUMP IS GOING TO KILL US ALL FREAK OUT FREAK OUT AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

[YE]

Looks like the race has slid back from 10-14% to 4-8%. It was bound to happen. Hopefully it doesn’t get any closer than this.

Perhaps but this pollster just seems all over the place so I wouldn’t read too much into it in particular.

[Sbane]

And Trump still can't get above 41. Sad.

[wbrocks67]

People are really freaking out about this? Firehouse has been all over the place this cycle. Total rollercoaster.

And no - a movement from +10 to +4 in a LV screener is not normal.