Firehouse/Optimus: Biden +4.3%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

An end to Biden's more ridiculous leads with this high-MoE pollster.

May 21-30
Among 789 likely voters

MoE among 914 adults: 8.3%

Presidential race:
Biden 49.7%
Trump 45.4%
Would not vote 4.9%

GCB:
D 46.2%
R 37.1%
Other 2.6%
Would not vote 0.8%
Not sure 13.4%

[Bidenworth2020]

Interesting, though runs counter to what 2 new (and more reputable) polls show.

[Progressive Pessimist]

This is a weird pollster.

[wbrocks67]

This is a weird pollster.

with the GCB at D+9 too...

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Probably a more realistic poll

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Why is the margin of error so large for this sample size??

[anthonyjg]

Decimals

[Lief 🗽]

RIP

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Seriously, a poll of 913 respondents should have a margin or error of around 3.2%. Does anyone have a link to this poll's methodology that might explain this.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Seriously, a poll of 913 respondents should have a margin or error of around 3.2%. Does anyone have a link to this poll's methodology that might explain this.

https://github.com/optimus-forecasting-and-polling/0ptimus-Coronavirus-Tracking/blob/master/June-01-2020/0ptimus_Coronavirus_Methodology_Statement0530.pdf

This is all I've found on the matter. Their MoEs are all weirdly high.

[Hammy]

Why is this pollsters swinging so wildly? Wasn't Biden up almost 10 and before that Trump leading?

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Why is this pollsters swinging so wildly? Wasn't Biden up almost 10 and before that Trump leading?

We are in June 2020, not in Sept and polls dont always agree with each other. We are in a campaign with no political rallies and we have looters and protesters amid COVID 19