WI (Trafalgar): Trump +1

[wbrocks67]

IDK, something seems fishy about these Trafalgar polls. They haven't polled much this cycle (really at all from what I've seen), and now these random polls showing Trump basically tied in Michigan and Wisconsin are coming at the same exact time that the averages are showing him with nearly 10% leads in those states just seems very coincidental timing. Not to mention they don't release any crosstabs.

It would be one thing if half the polls were showing one thing, but we've now had multiple high quality polls in MI and WI that line up with national polls right now, so these polls seem... suspicious

[wbrocks67]

This is believable. I currently have Trump winning Wisconsin but losing the EC.

Yeah... no.

The age breakdown they have is bonkers.

They have 18-29 at 5% - it was 14% in 2018 and 17% in 2016.

They have 50+ at 68% - it was 57% in 2018 and 52% in 2016.

[wbrocks67]

It feels like Trafalgar is purposely putting these out there to set a narrative.