WI (Trafalgar): Trump +1

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

1) This is completely out of line with the other polls we've seen from Wisconsin.
2) Third party is definitely not getting 8% of the vote.

Some of you here should know better.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

And true to form, RCP has this posted up right away.  Probably took them a couple of milliseconds.

Why is everyone here obsessed with what polls RCP posts?

RCP tends to post polls that favor Trump and the Republicans much quicker than those that favor the Democrats.

RCP definitely has a right wing bias, as shown by their opinion pieces.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

According to Nate Cohn who I don't think distorts the data, Trafalgar was the 7th most accurate pollster in 2018, beating Marist and Quinnipiac. It had a 1.87% error on average in favour of the GOP. By contrast, Fox had a 3.05% error in favour of the democrats, Marist had a 4.43% error in favour of the democrats and Quinnipiac had a 2.75% error in favour of the democrats, so Trafalgar's bias was within the normal range.

 
twitter.com/GravisMarketing/status/1067057315327692805

It's just a simple fact that 8% of the WI vote will NOT go to third party candidates.