2020: The Rematch

[Chips]

How would a Trump vs. Clinton 2020 match-up go?

[Chips]

Here's how I think it would go:

President Trump/Mike Pence: 335 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote
Hillary Clinton/Running Mate: 203 electoral votes and 47% of the popular vote

I had to think hard about where I think MN would go but I think against Clinton it could go to Trump by a razor-thin margin.

[NewYorkExpress]

Hillary would be one of the weaker possible nominees, but ultimately she'd learn her lessons from 2016, and scrape out a narrow victory.

Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren 278 Electoral Votes and 46% of the Popular Vote
Donald Trump/Mike Pence 260 Electoral Votes and 43% of the Popular Vote

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

HRC would be even weaker than last time as a re-run would be seen as immensely entitled and (as polls chart) she'd place in about the lowest tier of plausible 2020 primary candidates.

Given how significantly things have shifted since COVID, it's quite possible she would have won anyway. I'd guess the 2016 map repeats itself, but MI and PA flip D.

[bagelman]

Here's how I think it would go:

President Trump/Mike Pence: 335 electoral votes and 51% of the popular vote
Hillary Clinton/Running Mate: 203 electoral votes and 47% of the popular vote

I had to think hard about where I think MN would go but I think against Clinton it could go to Trump by a razor-thin margin.

This is a valid prediction for as late as February, but in the light of COVID Trump's best case scenario is 2016, and that's with Clinton learning nothing from then. 

[President Biden Democrat]

Trump would win re-election. Sure, people don't like Trump but Hillary Clinton is even more unpopular. The margin would likely be similar to 2016. The map is below:

Trump/Pence: 326 √
Clinton/VP: 212