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  Talk Elections
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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  AL-ALG (D): Sessions +2, Tuberville +3
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Author Topic: AL-ALG (D): Sessions +2, Tuberville +3  (Read 618 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: June 26, 2020, 09:50:35 am »



Tuberville (R) - 47
Jones (D-inc) - 44

Sessions (R) - 45
Jones (D-inc) - 43

600 likely voters interviewed 6/18-6/22
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2020, 09:58:00 am »

MoE: 4%

Sessions race:
Other 3%
Undecided 9%

Tuberville race:
Other 1%
Undecided 8%
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АndriуValeriovich
andjey
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« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2020, 10:03:54 am »
« Edited: June 26, 2020, 10:06:56 am by АndriуValeriovich »

Looks like this race isn't guarentee flip. Lean R
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #3 on: June 26, 2020, 10:10:01 am »

This is a B/C rated pollster, per 538. Jones obviously remains the underdog in this race, but I'll take any & all optimism that I can get from AL.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: June 26, 2020, 10:16:04 am »

They still poll races like these but ME, MT and KS need polling and they wont poll them, geez
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Unpolled Amash Voter for Trump
DTC
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« Reply #5 on: June 26, 2020, 11:14:56 am »

Doug Jones will lose unless 2020 is a super massive dem tsunami. Ignore this race. Dems should try to win Colorado, Maine, Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Montana, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Texas, and South Carolina before they try to target Alabama.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2020, 12:09:49 pm »

This poll canít be taken seriously.

There is literally no chance of this happening

Trump could lose 59% to 40% / 450-138 & Jones still wouldnít win this seat

This is Safe R, period. Jones losing by high single digits would be a GREAT night for him
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GlobeSoc
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« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2020, 12:34:52 pm »

Doug Jones will lose unless 2020 is a super massive dem tsunami. Ignore this race. Dems should try to win Colorado, Maine, Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Montana, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Texas, and South Carolina before they try to target Alabama.

If Jones is winning McConnell is probably in serious danger and a filibuster-proof majority is in reach. Which, unless things somehow go to like Biden +15-20, is a goofy idea
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Western Democrat
Yaboi22
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« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2020, 12:47:16 pm »

Doug Jones will lose unless 2020 is a super massive dem tsunami. Ignore this race. Dems should try to win Colorado, Maine, Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Montana, Iowa, Kansas, Alaska, Texas, and South Carolina before they try to target Alabama.

If Jones is winning McConnell is probably in serious danger and a filibuster-proof majority is in reach. Which, unless things somehow go to like Biden +15-20, is a goofy idea

Yeah tbh AL is probably seat 60/61 for the Democrats
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
jtsmd2
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« Reply #9 on: June 27, 2020, 05:44:36 pm »

New Poll: Alabama Senator by Anzalone Liszt Grove on 2020-06-22

Summary: D: 44%, R: 47%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
jtsmd2
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« Reply #10 on: June 28, 2020, 01:03:41 am »

This is a B/C rated pollster, per 538. Jones obviously remains the underdog in this race, but I'll take any & all optimism that I can get from AL.

New polls start out with the B/C rating until there are enough of them to label an accurate rating.  It's done this way so it gives them slightly below-average weighting in their model or whatev.

So it doesn't mean it's a crap poll or anything.

I'd also caution on writing off internal polls.  There are so damn many of them nowadays done by reputable sources that it's almost impractical to not consider them along with other "legitimate" pollsters.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: June 28, 2020, 02:54:18 pm »
« Edited: June 28, 2020, 02:57:45 pm by JAMIE HARRISON »

We might see a replay in 2022, of another R primary, if Rs are substantially in the minority,  47 seats or more down, Shelby, Grassley, Toomey, Burr and Johnson are bound to retire. Which holds well for a JD Scholten comeback story for IA Gov or Senate
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #12 on: June 28, 2020, 06:32:54 pm »

The only real takeaway here is that Sessions is hated in the state and has no chance of winning the runoff unless a miracle happens.
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Use Your Illusion
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« Reply #13 on: June 29, 2020, 06:54:04 pm »

The only real takeaway here is that Sessions is hated in the state and has no chance of winning the runoff unless a miracle happens.

This sums it up quite nicely. Jones is absolutely friggin toast. There is no way in creation Trump carries Bama by +25 (at minimum) and the people don't check the Republican senator too. The only chance Jones has is (as you said) Sessions wins a runoff miracle. Even then Jones' chances are losing by high single digits on a good night. The only chance he has is if Trump openly rebukes Sessions enough to damn near mind-control the Bama populous into outright refusing to vote for him. Jones wins by like 11,000 votes because every democrat in the state cast their vote for him and Sessions loses because the voter abstinence was record-shattering.


If this DIDN'T happen and Jones just somehow outright won against a guy like Tuberville it would be (at the risk of sounding hyperbolic) one of the greatest political upsets of our lifetime. By that point, Jones would be one of the greatest legends of the party ever for being such a survivor to rattle off 2 impossible wins like that.


Meanwhile DNC headquarters be like "HOW DID YOU GET THE TURNOUT??!"
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Escape Pod Zero
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« Reply #14 on: June 29, 2020, 06:57:32 pm »

SAFE R!!!

Even if it's close, Jones won't win.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #15 on: June 29, 2020, 07:12:38 pm »

The only real takeaway here is that Sessions is hated in the state and has no chance of winning the runoff unless a miracle happens.

This sums it up quite nicely. Jones is absolutely friggin toast. There is no way in creation Trump carries Bama by +25 (at minimum) and the people don't check the Republican senator too. The only chance Jones has is (as you said) Sessions wins a runoff miracle. Even then Jones' chances are losing by high single digits on a good night. The only chance he has is if Trump openly rebukes Sessions enough to damn near mind-control the Bama populous into outright refusing to vote for him. Jones wins by like 11,000 votes because every democrat in the state cast their vote for him and Sessions loses because the voter abstinence was record-shattering.


If this DIDN'T happen and Jones just somehow outright won against a guy like Tuberville it would be (at the risk of sounding hyperbolic) one of the greatest political upsets of our lifetime. By that point, Jones would be one of the greatest legends of the party ever for being such a survivor to rattle off 2 impossible wins like that.


Meanwhile DNC headquarters be like "HOW DID YOU GET THE TURNOUT??!"

Sessions is literally Bob Corker 2.0. Another Deep South former GOP senator who is now reviled by his own party's voters in his home state.
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Atlanta 1997 World Champs
bronz4141
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« Reply #16 on: June 30, 2020, 05:00:47 pm »

Doug Jones will lose.

Still Safe R.

Jones should try to be Biden's AG.
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