PA-16 - PPP/Kristy Gnibus (D): Trump +4% (+20% in 2016)

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BcrifbBqJKxF4CgIJogeGOOBGlqo0yLB/view

PPP poll for Gnibus' campaign as nominee
June 22-23, 2020
726 voters
MoE: 3.6%

The following tweet erroneously identified this as a poll of PA-17:

https://twitter.com/MLCypher/status/1276298433029120002

[WD]

We get it, Trump is screwed beyond belief. We don’t need 10 polls per day to tell us this lol

[BlueSwan]

We get it, Trump is screwed beyond belief. We don’t need 10 polls per day to tell us this lol

Oh but we do!

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

We get it, Trump is screwed beyond belief. We don’t need 10 polls per day to tell us this lol

Shush!

[WD]

We get it, Trump is screwed beyond belief. We don’t need 10 polls per day to tell us this lol

Shush!

But aren’t you tired of all the winning?

[Orwell]

Uhh I looked on Wikipedia and PA-16 was Trump +6 not Trump +20. Unless I am missing something.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Uhh I looked on Wikipedia and PA-16 was Trump +6 not Trump +20. Unless I am missing something.

Pennsylvania districts can be confusing when talking about trends from 2016 to now because of the 2018 redistricting. 

Trump won the old 16th district by around +6, but not sure where +20 comes from, though I'm likely missing something also. 

[wbrocks67]

Under the new PA district lines, yes, Trump would have won PA-16 in 2016 by 20%.

Under new PA-16 lines:
2016: Trump +20
2012: Romney +5
2008: Obama +1

PA has changed since 2008, so not a totally apples to apples comparison, but this is yet another poll, like the ones from PA-01 and PA-10 that show Trump down double digits from his 2016 margin in now 3 PA districts.

[Smash255]

Uhh I looked on Wikipedia and PA-16 was Trump +6 not Trump +20. Unless I am missing something.

The PA-16 that was in place in 2016 was based in Lancaster County and took in Reading.  That is the version Trump won by 6.  The current PA-16 is based in NW and western PA running from Erie down to parts of the northern Pittsburgh suburbs.  Trump won it by 20.

[South Dakota Democrat]

We get it, Trump is screwed beyond belief. We don’t need 10 polls per day to tell us this lol

Shush!

Ha yeah, the polls are very comforting.

[woodley park]

We get it, Trump is screwed beyond belief. We don’t need 10 polls per day to tell us this lol

It will NEVER get old to see Trump flopping in the polls. EVER. In fact, the closer we get to Election Day, the more enjoyable the flopping becomes. Keep 'em coming!

[DaleCooper]

It's looking like Trump's electoral strengths in 2016 really were just Clinton weaknesses.

[WD]

How did this district vote in 2012?

[Gracile]

How did this district vote in 2012?

Romney 51.7-46.9

[ProudModerate2]

Under the new PA district lines, yes, Trump would have won PA-16 in 2016 by 20%.

Under new PA-16 lines:
2016: Trump +20
2012: Romney +5
2008: Obama +1

PA has changed since 2008, so not a totally apples to apples comparison, but this is yet another poll, like the ones from PA-01 and PA-10 that show Trump down double digits from his 2016 margin in now 3 PA districts.

Yep, I agree with this.
All these district polls are a good indicator of how PA feels about trump. In a strange way, they actually make me feel better than the statewide PA polls.