WI (Marquette): Biden +8, +9 with Leaners

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Well geez, first diaz loses and now this. The day cant get any better!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Biden 51
Trump 42
Neither 5
Refused 2
Undecided 3

805 registered voters
June 14-18, 2020

These numbers simply aren't sustainable for Trump. The only reason I still have WI and the election down as lean D is because there's too much uncertainty to define an average lead <9% as likely D at this early-ish stage.

[TC 25]

June has been a complete dumpster fire for Trump.   These are post-Access Hollywood numbers.

The good thing is it's June and not mid-October.   Still lots of time to change the narrative and the election.

[Bidenworth2020]

June has been a complete dumpster fire for Trump.   These are post-Access Hollywood numbers.

The good thing is it's June and not mid-October.   Still lots of time to change the narrative and the election.

Oh really? I thought Minnesota was a tossup now due to the riots?

[Alben Barkley]

Let’s see if they’ve got any better at polling Trump after there embarrassing 2016 performance.

You know SN, sock puppets are banned on this site.

[Alben Barkley]

Looking more and more like 2016 was an aberration in the Rust Belt. Very interested to see what Q-pac shows in Ohio later today.

Seems like it's right in line with what you'd expect as it's Biden +1 and Ohio was 7-8 points LESS D than Wisconsin in 2016.

[Buzz]

Let’s see if they’ve got any better at polling Trump after there embarrassing 2016 performance.

You know SN, sock puppets are banned on this site.

why the hell does everyone think I’m SN lol.  I’ve been on this site posting like this since 2016!

[Hammy]

Let’s see if they’ve got any better at polling Trump after there embarrassing 2016 performance.

You know SN, sock puppets are banned on this site.

There's a lot of posters who are here specifically for election discussion and don't post a whole lot otherwise outside of election season.

[Alben Barkley]

Let’s see if they’ve got any better at polling Trump after there embarrassing 2016 performance.

You know SN, sock puppets are banned on this site.

There's a lot of posters who are here specifically for election discussion and don't post a whole lot otherwise outside of election season.

Sure, and I was mostly joking, but it is a little suspicious that this one just so happens to be posting pretty much the exact same kinds of things SN did in every thread on this board, and he started doing so right around the time SN was banned from the board. Also SN is clearly still stalking this board as he often likes Buzz's posts.

[President Johnson]

I'm getting a feeling Trump gets absolutely creamed in the election unless something drastic in his favor happens. There is plenty of time, but he's in a worse position as four years ago. Ergo to win he needs a bigger upset than last time.

It's also noteworthy Joe Biden is close to 50%, something H-dog barely matched at all.

[ProudModerate2]

Many of us on the Biden Team are worried about Wisconsin.
If these numbers keep-up, we can ignore it and concentrate discussion on states like FL and NC.

[ProudModerate2]

... It's also noteworthy Joe Biden is close to 50%, something H-dog barely matched at all.

Joe's overall average in both RCP and 538 are above 50%.
He is on FIRE!

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Biden isnt gonna win WI by 8, but 4 to 6 points is the range of all the Midwest states, if that's true Trump has cratered, indefinitely

I see no reason why this isn't possible given the current political climate.

WI is ready to the join the sunbelt stack.

[cvparty]

this is plausible given the national margin right now

[The Mikado]

this is plausible given the national margin right now

If Biden's up by 10 nationally, up by 8 in WI makes sense, yeah.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Let’s see if they’ve got any better at polling Trump after there embarrassing 2016 performance.

You know SN, sock puppets are banned on this site.

There's a lot of posters who are here specifically for election discussion and don't post a whole lot otherwise outside of election season.

Also a lot of posters who just post unfunny joke responses and Vampire Diaries gifs. 

Yup.  Lots and lots of them. 

[Stockdale for Veep]

Driftless is back !

[GeorgiaModerate]

Biden isnt gonna win WI by 8, but 4 to 6 points is the range of all the Midwest states, if that's true Trump has cratered, indefinitely

I see no reason why this isn't possible given the current political climate.

WI is ready to the join the sunbelt stack.

If I lived in Wisconsin, I'd want to go south for the winter too.

[Hope For A New Era]

This is a Baldwinesq map here.

Might be as close to the legendary Obama 2008 map as we're ever going to get!

Probably some areas of northern Wisconsin are permanently lost, but the Driftless should come back pretty easily (in Iowa as well).

[Progressive Pessimist]

Ha! Wow! I remember when I was excited by Biden only being up by three here. If this keeps up, especially in polls by Marquette-Wisconsin's gold standard (enough with the "but 2016 s***!"), Biden will be in a very clear winner's position this November.

Many of us on the Biden Team are worried about Wisconsin.
If these numbers keep-up, we can ignore it and concentrate discussion on states like FL and NC.

Going as far as to say "ignore it" is flying a bit too close to the sun. This state is the ballgame, I would encourage the Biden campaign to still remain focused on the states he needs as much as expanding into new ones.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Ha! Wow! I remember when I was excited by Biden only being up by three here. If this keeps up, especially in polls by Marquette-Wisconsin's gold standard (enough with the "but 2016 s***!"), Biden will be in a very clear winner's position this November.

Many of us on the Biden Team are worried about Wisconsin.
If these numbers keep-up, we can ignore it and concentrate discussion on states like FL and NC.

Going as far as to say "ignore it" is flying a bit too close to the sun. This state is the ballgame, I would encourage the Biden campaign to still remain focused on the states he needs as much as expanding into new ones.

Preparing for an election scenario where MI/PA/WI get like 15% Biden wins while GA/TX are like 2% Trump wins