Your past election predictions? (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Your past election predictions? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Your past election predictions?  (Read 1181 times)
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,896
United States


« on: June 25, 2020, 04:01:11 AM »

I've been wrong every damn time lmao.

2008: McCain win (too young to actually bother to read the news or polling, obv no map)

2012: Narrow Romney win, fell for the Dean Chambers "poll unskewing" stuff cuz I desperately wanted to believe it



2016: My prediction was basically identical to the consensus. Turns out, consensus was wrong.



2020: Currently predicting a narrow Biden win like this:



But I wouldn't be surprised to see a scenario where the Sun Belt flips all at once (save for Texas but it's close) and may revise my prediction to reflect FL, NC and GA flipping if Trump's campaign continues to free fall. As of now I think IA and OH stay R.
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