Ontario with U.S. Congressional-sized districts

[Krago]

Twitter user ksituan northland (@kitsuan) created a map showing Ontario with 16 U.S. Congressional-sized districts (avg. pop. 840K - 2016 Census).

https://twitter.com/ksituan/status/1274708051610660864?s=20

Here's my kick at the can: https://tinyurl.com/Ontario16CD

(1)  I allowed for a 1% deviation from the average population.
(2)  Don't mind the names.

[lfromnj]

Woudlnt it have like 20 districts?
Ontarios pop is 14.5 to Ohios 11.7

[Sol]

Now draw a Democratic gerrymander--I assume Dems would have control given Toronto--which complies with the VRA.

[Krago]

Here's the Racial Breakdown of the six districts in the Greater Toronto Area:

Ontario CD	Chinese%	South Asian%	Black%	Other VM%	White%
Brampton	2%	45%	15%	15%	23%
Mississauga	7%	19%	7%	19%	47%
North York	11%	8%	12%	26%	43%
Scarborough	15%	27%	13%	18%	28%
Steeles	29%	14%	3%	18%	37%
Toronto	10%	10%	6%	14%	60%
GTA	12%	21%	9%	18%	40%

I've created a quick-and-dirty map of the Toronto Area showing the racial distribution.  I used the same layout as the New York Times Mapping America maps, replacing Hispanic with South Asian.



A Chinese majority seat could be made by combining the red areas in Richmond Hill, Markham, NE North York and NW Scarborough.  By combining the gold areas in Brampton, NW Mississauga and N Etobicoke, there could be a majority South Asian district.  The Black areas (blue dots) are too scattered to create a Black majority seat.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

What would the map look like with 19 seats as opposed to 16?

[Krago]

What would the map look like with 19 seats as opposed to 16?

Here's my 19-district map: https://tinyurl.com/Ontario16CD

and the partisan breakdown by district:

Congressional District	LIB	CON	NDP	GRN	OTH
Brampton	51%	26%	19%	3%	1%
Caledon	40%	41%	10%	7%	2%
Durham	40%	34%	17%	5%	4%
Etobicoke	56%	26%	13%	4%	1%
Georgian	31%	41%	15%	11%	2%
Hamilton	39%	28%	24%	6%	3%
Kawartha	36%	37%	18%	8%	1%
Kitchener	40%	28%	14%	15%	3%
London	31%	36%	23%	6%	4%
Markham	44%	42%	8%	3%	3%
Mississauga	50%	34%	9%	4%	3%
Niagara	32%	38%	20%	6%	4%
North York	53%	28%	13%	4%	2%
Ottawa	50%	23%	19%	6%	2%
Scarborough	56%	25%	13%	3%	3%
St. Clair	26%	39%	28%	4%	3%
St. Lawrence	33%	45%	14%	6%	2%
Superior	34%	26%	31%	5%	4%
Toronto	51%	14%	27%	6%	2%
Ontario	41%	32%	18%	6%	3%

Please don't look too close at North Bay.