Alaskans will vote on a ranked-choice voting system this November

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

We have our first poll for this (from an interested party): https://alaskansforbetterelections.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/AK-Ballot-Measure-2-Results.pdf

Mercury Analytics/Claster Consulting
Conducted for Alaskans for Better Elections, which supports the amendment
September 22-27
803 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Yes 59%
No 17%
Undecided/don't know 24%

Edit: looking at the crosstabs, it's clear they polled the presidential race but aren't releasing toplines. I had hoped to extrapolate them from the results published, but there is clearly a significant "undecided/third party" vote in the presidential contest which is not listed as a crosstab for the RCV referendum result.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

New polls are in for Alaska's ballot initiatives

Alaska Survey Research
September 26 - October 4
696 likely voters

Measure 1: North Slope Oil Production Tax Increase Initiative (would increase tax on North Slope oil fields with lifetime output of >=400 million barrels of oil and a daily output of 40,000 barrels in the last year)

https://twitter.com/IvanMoore1/status/1313655874292862981

Measure 2: Top-Four Ranked-Choice Voting and Campaign Finance

https://twitter.com/IvanMoore1/status/1313656402229956608

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

As absentee ballots trickle in, the "No" lead is being reduced (currently at 53 No-47 Yes with only  75% of the vote in). I expect this to pass.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Alaska Voters = Cowards for adopting RCV!

? How does actually wanting democracy in your state make you a coward?

RCV is bad, it's unconstitutional IMO!

Is there any reason for you considering it bad besides the constitution?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Alaska Voters = Cowards for adopting RCV!

? How does actually wanting democracy in your state make you a coward?

RCV is bad, it's unconstitutional IMO!

Is there any reason for you considering it bad besides the constitution?

It unanimously favores Democrats!

Where is the evidence for a bias towards Democrats at the national level? That might be closer to the truth in Maine and I could see a case for it in environments where Republicans urge their voters not to trust RCV but it is not as if Republican voters aren't prepared to support third parties to similar extents. The lack of RCV arguably saved Democrats in AKSEN in 2008, MTSEN and MOSEN in 2012, ALSEN in 2017, etc.

What's the case to suggest Democratic leaners are more likely to go third party in competitive elections without RCV?