If Fritz Hollings ran for re-election in 2004
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  If Fritz Hollings ran for re-election in 2004
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Author Topic: If Fritz Hollings ran for re-election in 2004  (Read 257 times)
Elcaspar
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« on: June 20, 2020, 04:53:52 PM »

In 2004 how well would he have done? And how well would he have done in 2010 if he won in 2004?
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Left Wing
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« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2020, 04:55:02 PM »

In 2004 how well would he have done? And how well would he have done in 2010 if he won in 2004?

I think he wins by like 2 percent in 2004 and goes down HARD in 2010.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2020, 05:47:02 PM »

I think anyone who thinks Hollings would have won in 2004 is underestimating President Bush's strength at the top of the ticket.

It also doesn't help him that Jim DeMint is a really strong candidate.

2004:

Jim DeMint (R) 51%
Fritz Hollings (D) 49%
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Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2020, 05:55:41 PM »

I think anyone who thinks Hollings would have won in 2004 is underestimating President Bush's strength at the top of the ticket.

It also doesn't help him that Jim DeMint is a really strong candidate.

2004:

Jim DeMint (R) 51%
Fritz Hollings (D) 49%
Tenebaum didn't lose by all that much. I think Holling's incumbency would but him by 10 points or so.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2020, 06:10:45 PM »

I think anyone who thinks Hollings would have won in 2004 is underestimating President Bush's strength at the top of the ticket.

It also doesn't help him that Jim DeMint is a really strong candidate.

2004:

Jim DeMint (R) 51%
Fritz Hollings (D) 49%
Tenebaum didn't lose by all that much. I think Holling's incumbency would but him by 10 points or so.

Tenebaum was also about forty years younger and able to campaign more easily. While Hollings has the advantage of incumbency, Tenebaum has a major advantage of being much younger and able to keep up with DeMint on the campaign trail.

If the 2004 race had been in 2006, Tenebaum might have actually won.
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Escape Pod Zero
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« Reply #5 on: June 21, 2020, 08:30:13 PM »

A very narrow victory for Demint.
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