Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI (user search)
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  Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI (search mode)
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Author Topic: Change Research: Biden +10% nationally, +1 in AZ, +7 in FL, +2 in MI, +2 in NC, +3 in PA, +4 in WI  (Read 3219 times)
Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,209


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

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« on: June 17, 2020, 11:05:31 AM »

not just in the poll below but generally speaking Biden seems to be gaining a lot of ground in the 3 states he was perceived to be weaker in (Wisconsin, Florida, North Carolina) while losing ground in the 3 stronger ones (Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan).  Though Michigan recently had some very large leads for him as well.  But conversely, the Arizona and Pennsylvania trends seem real while the Florida and Wisconsin ones do too.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/17/biden-leads-trump-in-2020-election-swing-states-cnbcchange-research-poll.html

Biden has some weak polling numbers - I expect him to lose AZ, NC, and FL. He has a chance at the Rust Belt. A Democrat should be doing much better than this and getting over 50% consistently to beat an incumbent president.


Biden has a 10% national average according to 538 (8.5% according to RCP), and he's leading by 7 in FL in this poll, and by 11 in FL in another poll. Stop talking out of your ass.

If anything, Biden has a better chance of winning FL than WI/PA based on polls. Your statement is 100% not based on facts, and 100% based on feelings
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