IA-Selzer: Trump +1 (user search)
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  IA-Selzer: Trump +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Trump +1  (Read 3509 times)
DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« on: June 15, 2020, 06:21:22 PM »

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2020, 06:39:31 PM »

Reynolds is not a maniac and managed to keep the other districts within 3 points. Biden is leading by 5, 14 and 8 in IA-1, IA-2 and IA-3 respectively. That is a lot better than what Hubbell got.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: June 15, 2020, 08:46:35 PM »

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.
Not when the state was Trump +9 and 3 of the districts are Trump + 4 lol. Hubbel literally managed to win all 3 districts yet still lose.

Lol read the damn poll before you try to chastise anyone. The poll has Biden leading from 5% to 14% in three districts with Trump up big in IA-4 and Trump is only up by 1% overall. All Biden has to do is slightly perform better in one district and he wins the state.

It is not 2016 anymore, so what happened then is irrelevant now.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: June 15, 2020, 11:09:30 PM »

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.
Not when the state was Trump +9 and 3 of the districts are Trump + 4 lol. Hubbel literally managed to win all 3 districts yet still lose.

Lol read the damn poll before you try to chastise anyone. The poll has Biden leading from 5% to 14% in three districts with Trump up big in IA-4 and Trump is only up by 1% overall. All Biden has to do is slightly perform better in one district and he wins the state.

It is not 2016 anymore, so what happened then is irrelevant now.

Why don't you read the damn poll?
The entire poll is 700 people which is a fine sample but htat means each district has sub 200 people and it wouldn't even be perfectly weighted.

Whatever. No matter how you dissect it it's not a good poll for Trump, period.
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