IA-Selzer: Trump +1

[LimoLiberal]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden-1-point/3178743001/

Trump - 44
Biden - 43

Trump JA is 45-52.

[Bidenworth2020]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden-1-point/3178743001/

Trump 44 (-7)
Biden 43 (+2)

[libertpaulian]

https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1272665435603906561

[Senate Minority Leader Voldemort]

Hmm... lot of undecideds.

[SaneDemocrat]

Biden has no chance in Iowa

[Gass3268]

IA-01: 48-43 Biden
IA-02: 48-34 Biden
IA-03: 49-41 Biden
IA-04: 59-28 Trump

[SaneDemocrat]

https://twitter.com/OurProgressHQ/status/1272665435603906561

Yea Biden has no chance in Iowa sadly

[Holmes]

Time to give IA-04 to South Dakota.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Biden has no chance in Iowa

The best pollster in Iowa his him within one point of Trump.  Is Biden favored in Iowa?  No.  But it's ridiculous to say that he has no chance.

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

Consistent with most of the national polling we've seen lately.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Trump is still probably favored here, very narrowly, but I think Iowa is becoming a more worthwhile investment for the Biden campaign than previously thought, especially if the down-ballot polls are accurate.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Hmm what is causing Ernst to do noticeably worse than Trump in recent polls?

[OSR stands with Israel]

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Not buying this poll, if Greenfield is leading, then Biden will win the state and 3 Dem incumbents will survive

[Landslide Lyndon]

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

She doesn't. He gets 44% and she gets 43%.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

I won’t complain, I’d happily take a six year Senate rental than a worthless 6 electoral votes that will be non-determinative in every realistic electoral college scenario

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

Hes not, if Biden is leading by 9 pts, then Biden will win IA. Polls are based on turnout

[DrScholl]

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.

[2016]

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

Yes, that is very strange. Ernst has a 49-39 Job Approval as Senator in Iowa.
I think her being down to Greenfied by 3 has more to do with Greenfield getting a bump from her Primary Victory. This Poll was done right after the Iowa June 2nd.

[Don't blame me I voted for Harris]

Huh.

I expected a Biden lead, considering they found Greenfield and congressional Dems up in the same poll, but I'll take it.

[SaneDemocrat]

Biden has no chance in Iowa

The best pollster in Iowa his him within one point of Trump.  Is Biden favored in Iowa?  No.  But it's ridiculous to say that he has no chance.

This is the best environment Biden is going to have.  Thought he'd be up by 2 or 3.

Trump wins by 3 I think.

[Holmes]

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.

Unless IA-04 comes in strong for Trump.

[Ronnie]

It's kind of crazy that a one point deficit in Iowa is now a "disappointing" result for Biden.  If that's the case, I sure hope we continue to be disappointed all the way to election day.

[2016]

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

I won’t complain, I’d happily take a six year Senate rental than a worthless 6 electoral votes that will be non-determinative in every realistic electoral college scenario

There is no way Ernst is going to lose the Senate Race if she has a 49-39 Job Approval Rating.

According to this Poll

49 % Approve of her
39 % Disapprove of her
13 % Unsure

Sure, she is going to lose with those Numbers. No way I say! Give me a break!

[Nyvin]

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.

Not really, IA-4 is looking more and more like a severe R vote sink.