IA-Selzer: Trump +1
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  IA-Selzer: Trump +1
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Author Topic: IA-Selzer: Trump +1  (Read 3426 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: June 15, 2020, 06:01:43 PM »

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden-1-point/3178743001/

Trump - 44
Biden - 43

Trump JA is 45-52.
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2020, 06:02:33 PM »

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden-1-point/3178743001/

Trump 44 (-7)
Biden 43 (+2)
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #2 on: June 15, 2020, 06:03:16 PM »

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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #3 on: June 15, 2020, 06:04:58 PM »

Hmm... lot of undecideds.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2020, 06:06:23 PM »

Biden has no chance in Iowa
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2020, 06:06:40 PM »

IA-01: 48-43 Biden
IA-02: 48-34 Biden
IA-03: 49-41 Biden
IA-04: 59-28 Trump
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #6 on: June 15, 2020, 06:06:47 PM »


Yea Biden has no chance in Iowa sadly
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Holmes
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« Reply #7 on: June 15, 2020, 06:07:26 PM »

Time to give IA-04 to South Dakota.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #8 on: June 15, 2020, 06:09:01 PM »


The best pollster in Iowa his him within one point of Trump.  Is Biden favored in Iowa?  No.  But it's ridiculous to say that he has no chance.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #9 on: June 15, 2020, 06:09:01 PM »

Consistent with most of the national polling we've seen lately.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: June 15, 2020, 06:15:22 PM »

Trump is still probably favored here, very narrowly, but I think Iowa is becoming a more worthwhile investment for the Biden campaign than previously thought, especially if the down-ballot polls are accurate.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #11 on: June 15, 2020, 06:16:16 PM »

Hmm what is causing Ernst to do noticeably worse than Trump in recent polls?
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #12 on: June 15, 2020, 06:17:29 PM »

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: June 15, 2020, 06:18:06 PM »

Not buying this poll, if Greenfield is leading, then Biden will win the state and 3 Dem incumbents will survive
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: June 15, 2020, 06:18:49 PM »

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

She doesn't. He gets 44% and she gets 43%.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #15 on: June 15, 2020, 06:19:31 PM »

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

I won’t complain, I’d happily take a six year Senate rental than a worthless 6 electoral votes that will be non-determinative in every realistic electoral college scenario
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: June 15, 2020, 06:21:09 PM »

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

Hes not, if Biden is leading by 9 pts, then Biden will win IA. Polls are based on turnout
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DrScholl
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« Reply #17 on: June 15, 2020, 06:21:22 PM »

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.
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2016
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« Reply #18 on: June 15, 2020, 06:22:27 PM »

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump
Yes, that is very strange. Ernst has a 49-39 Job Approval as Senator in Iowa.
I think her being down to Greenfied by 3 has more to do with Greenfield getting a bump from her Primary Victory. This Poll was done right after the Iowa June 2nd.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #19 on: June 15, 2020, 06:23:33 PM »

Huh.

I expected a Biden lead, considering they found Greenfield and congressional Dems up in the same poll, but I'll take it.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #20 on: June 15, 2020, 06:24:57 PM »


The best pollster in Iowa his him within one point of Trump.  Is Biden favored in Iowa?  No.  But it's ridiculous to say that he has no chance.
This is the best environment Biden is going to have.  Thought he'd be up by 2 or 3.

Trump wins by 3 I think.
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Holmes
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« Reply #21 on: June 15, 2020, 06:25:39 PM »

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.

Unless IA-04 comes in strong for Trump.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #22 on: June 15, 2020, 06:26:01 PM »

It's kind of crazy that a one point deficit in Iowa is now a "disappointing" result for Biden.  If that's the case, I sure hope we continue to be disappointed all the way to election day.
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2016
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« Reply #23 on: June 15, 2020, 06:29:32 PM »

How the heck is Ernst underperforming Trump

I won’t complain, I’d happily take a six year Senate rental than a worthless 6 electoral votes that will be non-determinative in every realistic electoral college scenario
There is no way Ernst is going to lose the Senate Race if she has a 49-39 Job Approval Rating.

According to this Poll

49 % Approve of her
39 % Disapprove of her
13 % Unsure

Sure, she is going to lose with those Numbers. No way I say! Give me a break!
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Nyvin
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« Reply #24 on: June 15, 2020, 06:29:43 PM »

If Biden wins three congressional districts then he probably will win the state.

Not really, IA-4 is looking more and more like a severe R vote sink.
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