AR-Hendrix: Trump +2
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Author Topic: AR-Hendrix: Trump +2  (Read 9833 times)
Skye
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« on: June 14, 2020, 10:01:46 AM »
« edited: June 14, 2020, 10:06:50 AM by Skye »
Trump 47
Biden 45

Quote
This survey of 869 likely Arkansas voters was conducted June 9-10, 2020, and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3%. Respondents were contacted via text message and given a unique link to complete the survey online.

https://talkbusiness.net/2020/06/poll-independents-dissatisfied-with-trump-cotton-biden-competitive-in-arkansas/



¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2020, 10:03:06 AM »
Skye, you stop that RIGHT now!
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Holmes
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« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2020, 10:04:20 AM »
Um, no lol
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2020, 10:05:02 AM »
I don't believe for a second that Biden could win Arkansas.

But if somehow it happened, I wouldn't stop laughing until Inauguration Day. Smiley
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Zache
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« Reply #4 on: June 14, 2020, 10:05:16 AM »
Junk poll?
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W
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« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2020, 10:05:29 AM »
bruh
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Horsemask
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« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2020, 10:06:35 AM »
Malarkey
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2020, 10:06:46 AM »
Alright it's time to break out the old Jeb! map and put Biden on it.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2020, 10:07:15 AM »
No, I wish it where true but no, this is not it.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: June 14, 2020, 10:08:39 AM »
AR trending D would be a pretty damning indictment of HRC's candidacy.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2020, 10:08:56 AM »
Hendrix is a fine liberal arts college with a very good academic program.  Not sure if they should go into the polling business, however.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #11 on: June 14, 2020, 10:09:13 AM »
This is a junk poll.

There's no way Trump is leading here by any less than 15 (and that's accounting for undecideds/leaners).
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #12 on: June 14, 2020, 10:09:38 AM »
This is going to be one of the biggest whiffs of the cycle.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #13 on: June 14, 2020, 10:12:25 AM »
Congratulations are in order to our friends at Firehouse Subs, Optimus Prime, those two fine blokes Redfield & Whiton, and now Jimi Hendrix for putting out this shock poll!
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ajc0918
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« Reply #14 on: June 14, 2020, 10:12:51 AM »
The revenge of Blanche
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2016
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« Reply #15 on: June 14, 2020, 10:13:08 AM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 14, 2020, 10:09:13 AM
This is a junk poll.

There's no way Trump is leading here by any less than 15 (and that's accounting for undecideds/leaners).
It's not. Not if Trump has a 27 % JA Nationally come Election Day like GWB had in 2008.

My Prediction is that Trumps JA will be in the low 30ties by that Day.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #16 on: June 14, 2020, 10:17:05 AM »
Another great poll for Trump, which shows why he is odds on favorite to win re-election.

Biden is simply inflating the popular vote in states that he can't win like Arkansas, and also states that he was going to win anyway, like California.

This poll simply shows everyone that the national polls are junk. It doesn't matter if Biden is ahead by 10 points (or more) nationally, because Trump can still win the electoral college even if he loses the national popular vote by 10 points.

/s (if that is not clear lol)
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #17 on: June 14, 2020, 10:18:59 AM »
Biden by 20!!! Tongue
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #18 on: June 14, 2020, 10:24:24 AM »
Quote from: 2016 on June 14, 2020, 10:13:08 AM
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on June 14, 2020, 10:09:13 AM
This is a junk poll.

There's no way Trump is leading here by any less than 15 (and that's accounting for undecideds/leaners).
It's not. Not if Trump has a 27 % JA Nationally come Election Day like GWB had in 2008.

My Prediction is that Trumps JA will be in the low 30ties by that Day.

Trump's still going to win states Arkansas by 15. Meanwhile Biden's going to win California by 40-50.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2020, 10:41:46 AM »
This is our first and only AR poll too. Damn.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2020, 10:45:07 AM »
First thought on seeing headline:

"Eh, I'm sure it's like 35-33 with a boatload of "undecided" Trump supporters."

Sees 47-45:

"OK, it's just junk. Hendrix needs to get out of polling."

Arkansas margin since 2004:

2004: Bush +10
2008: McCain +20
2012: Romney +24
2016: Trump +27

Even getting that back to McCain numbers would be a massive swing and would, really, not fit at all with what we know about Arkansas, which, frankly, is probably the best state in America for the Trumpist model, or at least one of the top 5. Arkansas is basically the last place I'd expect to have a real Dem swing.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #21 on: June 14, 2020, 10:46:26 AM »
LOL, no. Junk poll.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: June 14, 2020, 10:53:07 AM »
The African American vote is gonna be so lopsided against Trump even safe states like MS which Hyde Smith is only up by 8 and AR Trump only by 2 flies in the face about him being Prez of African Americans, since he wont repeal tax cuts and give 3 months of 1200 checks to urban poverty people. Which Biden will be gladly to do
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #23 on: June 14, 2020, 11:14:09 AM »
A couple points:

* This is the first AR poll ever. We definitely need a Mason-Dixon poll from there to confirm it.

* Gov. Hutchinson's approval is a strong 62-19 in the same poll, so maybe the poll is right ?

https://talkbusiness.net/2020/06/poll-hutchinsons-job-approval-strong-through-pandemic-and-protests-but-reopening-move-risky-with-public/
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Suburbia
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« Reply #24 on: June 14, 2020, 11:16:12 AM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on June 14, 2020, 10:08:39 AM
AR trending D would be a pretty damning indictment of HRC's candidacy.
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