MI-Kiaer Research: Biden +15 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 03:41:57 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  MI-Kiaer Research: Biden +15 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MI-Kiaer Research: Biden +15  (Read 3354 times)
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« on: June 09, 2020, 04:35:24 PM »


I mean, the only reason this is even in doubt is because Trump somehow pulled out a win in the first place (being who he is and doing what he does). In retrospect, given that Clinton was also hugely unpopular, it shouldn't have been that surprising. Now no one wants to jump to any conclusions, no matter how abysmal the election environment looks for Trump/Republicans. And even after we've already established in 2018 that the public is willing and capable of punishing the GOP badly for Trump's presidency.

The reality is, no party has ever held onto the White House in an economy this damaged when the economy went bad under their watch, not to mention the pandemic and protests being so terribly handled by the incumbent. The idea of Trump winning reelection when the economy basically went into a Depression under his watch should alone tell people he's screwed.

It's kind of a joke at this point to say "lol nothing matters anymore" but the truth is, that has never actually been proven. If Trump held on through this, then you can truly say that.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,884
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2020, 05:10:42 PM »

Hilary won the PVI, she wasnt that unpopular 65 M to 63 M, she is adored by more Dems than BIDEN is. Trump won because in good ecommerce times, voters want tax cuts. In bad economic times like this one, voters believe in taxing middle class and rich to support entitlement spending.  Obama had a 3.5 percent unemployment

Her favorables were underwater in the 2016 exit polls. 43 / 55 unfavorable. She was lucky, in a way, to face Trump because if she faced anyone else who was even moderately favorable to the electorate, she might not have even won the popular vote.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.027 seconds with 14 queries.