TN - SSRS/Vanderbilt University: Trump + 9 (user search)

wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,258

Re: TN - SSRS/Vanderbilt University: Trump + 9

« on: June 09, 2020, 07:33:03 AM »

Wow. Trump won TN by 35% in 2016. Trump +9 is.... something.

Even if all undecideds went to Trump and it was 58-42, that would still be +16, and less than half of his 2016 margin.

But if Biden is winning nationally by +10 compared to Hillary's +2, makes sense

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wbrocks67
Atlas Star

Posts: 22,258

Re: TN - SSRS/Vanderbilt University: Trump + 9

« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2020, 07:39:39 AM »

Quote from: BlueSwan on June 09, 2020, 07:34:55 AM

Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 09, 2020, 07:33:03 AM

Trump won TN by 26% points in 2016.

Oops, my bad bath. 61-35.

Trump +16 seems more likely than Trump +9, but hey, this is a weird cycle

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wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,258

Re: TN - SSRS/Vanderbilt University: Trump + 9

« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2020, 07:48:36 AM »

Interesting though to note that this poll had Trump's approval much higher in October 2018 (Trump +13) ... it's down to Trump +4 now

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wbrocks67
Atlas Star

Posts: 22,258

Re: TN - SSRS/Vanderbilt University: Trump + 9

« Reply #3 on: June 09, 2020, 11:28:07 AM »

Important:

So let's assume undecideds break for Trump. Still only Trump +16 (58-42), a 10% decrease from his win in 2016 (Trump +26)

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