Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
Posts: 22,717
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« on: June 04, 2020, 02:22:34 AM » |
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I was skeptical of Quinnipiac, too, since they got FL 2018 wrong. BUT, just because one state turned out differently doesn't mean all of their polls are garbage. In TX, they slightly underestimated Beto. We also shouldn't assume pollsters don't learn from their errors.
Polls in TX have been relatively close this cycle across the board. You can discount a single one as outlier or for bad polling methodology, but it's getting increasingly hard to ignore this pattern here. TX is definitely more competitive than the GOP would like to see. I'm not convinced the Lone Star state will flip this November, but will be decided by the closest margin since at least 1976.
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