MN-GOV 2022: Which MN GOP candidate beats Walz?

[Suburbia]

I think Tim Walz is the next Jay Nixon. A white Midwestern governor who could have been a good white VP balance is finished.

I think the MN GOP could make a resurgence in the 2020s at the statewide level.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Literally who?

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Walz is extremely popular and considering how large MN is (and how large its urban population is) having ~1000 COVID deaths at the end of May will reap dividends unless there's a huge winter resurgence.

MN GOP is better than they were a decade ago but they're still deep in a hole considering 3/5 of the state lives in the MSP area and considering it's way above average for college education. If when you say "could make a resurgence in the 2020s" you mean they might finally win a statewide race for the first time since 2006, I agree. But things need to change a lot for Walz to lose.

[Suburbia]

Bob Kroll, many people feel will run and may run a law and order campaign.

Rich Stanek, the former Hennepin County Sheriff may run a law and order campaign with this

[jamestroll]

Tim Walz is no Jay Nixon.

He immediately condemned the officers and immediately brought in the national guard and is addressing the problems in Minneapolis.

Jay Nixon was like a clown contributing to the problem.

[LiberalDem19]

I mean, he has a 65% approval rating. In 2022, people are likely to not remember this if it doesn't get too much more out of hand. Remember, he repped a rural district for 12 years and is still decently liked in the rural areas

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

No one. Walz wins even in a Biden midterm
I think Ellison is a goner if Biden wins though

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

No one. Walz wins even in a Biden midterm
I think Ellison is a goner if Biden wins though

Is Ellison likely to catch more flack for this than Walz?

[Orwell]

No one. Walz wins even in a Biden midterm
I think Ellison is a goner if Biden wins though

Is Ellison likely to catch more flack for this than Walz?

Ellison is just not doing well, he had 2 allegations of Domestic Abuse. He is a muslim man from MSP and he only got 49% of the vote in 2018.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I think some sheriff will run against Ellison. Good lord the rurals will probably vote like appalachia in that race.

[I’m not Stu]

Walz is safe. This is like asking if Johnny Nalbandian will beat Judy Chu.

[LiberalDem19]

No one. Walz wins even in a Biden midterm
I think Ellison is a goner if Biden wins though

Is Ellison likely to catch more flack for this than Walz?

Ellison is just not doing well, he had 2 allegations of Domestic Abuse. He is a muslim man from MSP and he only got 49% of the vote in 2018.

He won despite those allegations and had a green party candidate get 6% of the vote. I agree he's more vulnerable than Walz, but he won despite those and nobody will care or remember in 2022

[Orwell]

No one. Walz wins even in a Biden midterm
I think Ellison is a goner if Biden wins though

Is Ellison likely to catch more flack for this than Walz?

Ellison is just not doing well, he had 2 allegations of Domestic Abuse. He is a muslim man from MSP and he only got 49% of the vote in 2018.

He won despite those allegations and had a green party candidate get 6% of the vote. I agree he's more vulnerable than Walz, but he won despite those and nobody will care or remember in 2022

I know I was just listing the reasons he would be weaker than Walz I don't think he'll lose

[Tartarus Sauce]

We'll look back on this thread in amusement in two years time when the Mike Lindell wins the GOP primary and runs a hilarious sacrificial lamb campaign. 

[brucejoel99]

None of them.

[Hope For A New Era]

Walz wins. Minnesota Republican ceiling.

[President Biden Democrat]

Walz wins. Minnesota Republican ceiling.

Agreed. This is two years in the future and this is Minnesota. Walz would probably win a second term as governor.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

No one. Walz wins even in a Biden midterm
I think Ellison is a goner if Biden wins though

Not only has Ellison been somewhat normalized, he's taking over the prosecution of the officers who killed George Floyd. That'll give him a huge boost if he convicts them.

[Suburbia]

I'd rate MN-GOV 2022 as Lean R/Tilt R

MN Republicans are going to use the Floyd murder/Minneapolis crime-police rift as a wedge to win the goverorship

Daudt can eke a win over Walz 50-49 with a recount

Tina Smith and Amy Klobuchar are lucky they are not up for reelection in 2022 and if Peterson wins reelection in MN-07, he'll retire in '22.

MN-AG is Tossup

People are lucky that the police union-backed Doug Wardlaw did not win in 2018 because he would have been like Daniel Cameron in KY and not even bother charging the cops for murder

[slothdem]

I'd rate MN-GOV 2022 as Lean R/Tilt R

MN Republicans are going to use the Floyd murder/Minneapolis crime-police rift as a wedge to win the goverorship

Daudt can eke a win over Walz 50-49 with a recount

Tina Smith and Amy Klobuchar are lucky they are not up for reelection in 2022 and if Peterson wins reelection in MN-07, he'll retire in '22.

MN-AG is Tossup

People are lucky that the police union-backed Doug Wardlaw did not win in 2018 because he would have been like Daniel Cameron in KY and not even bother charging the cops for murder

Is this a joke? The election is Likely D at worst. I don't know who Kurt Daudt is but I know he won't beat Tim Walz.

[GALeftist]

MN is titanium lean/likely D, GOP go home

[Astatine]

I'd rate MN-GOV 2022 as Lean R/Tilt R

MN Republicans are going to use the Floyd murder/Minneapolis crime-police rift as a wedge to win the goverorship

Daudt can eke a win over Walz 50-49 with a recount

Tina Smith and Amy Klobuchar are lucky they are not up for reelection in 2022 and if Peterson wins reelection in MN-07, he'll retire in '22.

MN-AG is Tossup

People are lucky that the police union-backed Doug Wardlaw did not win in 2018 because he would have been like Daniel Cameron in KY and not even bother charging the cops for murder

Is this a joke? The election is Likely D at worst. I don't know who Kurt Daudt is but I know he won't beat Tim Walz.

It's a bronz reply which is pretty close to a joke, just that it is not funny.

[538Electoral]

I think Mike Lindell would likely have the best chance.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I think Mike Lindell would likely have the best chance.

That guy is considering somewhat of a joke and sort of a meme here. I doubt he'd even win the GOP nomination unless absolutely no one else serious runs.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

For the record I believe Michelle Fischbach is the most likely candidate as she likely won't have a House seat anymore even if she beats Peterson and is pretty credible to the GOP base. Which would be the first election between two non-Twin Cities metro candidates in Minnesota since...I honestly have no idea.

However it would take quite the wave for her to beat Walz.