KS-SEN (NRSC Internal): Kobach +1, Marshall +11 (user search)
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  KS-SEN (NRSC Internal): Kobach +1, Marshall +11 (search mode)
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Author Topic: KS-SEN (NRSC Internal): Kobach +1, Marshall +11  (Read 1138 times)
Pollster
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« on: May 28, 2020, 12:08:53 PM »

Seems odd to me that Marshall only gains 2% on Kobach's #s, but with Marshall involved, suddenly Bollier loses *8%* of her total. We go from 87% decided to somehow, less decided (81%) in a Marshall-Bollier race?

Hard to speculate without a full data set, but I would suspect one of two things:

1) We're seeing a post-messaging ballot on the Marshall/Bollier race
2) There's a relatively big group of voters who know they will vote for Bollier against Kobach, but are undecided in a Bollier vs. Marshall race

1 is more likely than 2.
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