Firehouse/Optimus: Biden +4.3%
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  Firehouse/Optimus: Biden +4.3%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Firehouse/Optimus: Biden +4.3%  (Read 978 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 01, 2020, 05:27:30 PM »
An end to Biden's more ridiculous leads with this high-MoE pollster.

May 21-30
Among 789 likely voters

MoE among 914 adults: 8.3%

Presidential race:
Biden 49.7%
Trump 45.4%
Would not vote 4.9%

GCB:
D 46.2%
R 37.1%
Other 2.6%
Would not vote 0.8%
Not sure 13.4%
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Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2020, 05:42:06 PM »
Interesting, though runs counter to what 2 new (and more reputable) polls show.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2020, 05:53:26 PM »
This is a weird pollster.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2020, 06:42:11 PM »

with the GCB at D+9 too...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2020, 08:27:45 PM »
Probably a more realistic poll
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
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« Reply #5 on: June 01, 2020, 08:30:26 PM »
Why is the margin of error so large for this sample size?Huh?
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #6 on: June 01, 2020, 08:30:43 PM »
Decimals Squinting
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #7 on: June 01, 2020, 08:32:44 PM »
RIP
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
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« Reply #8 on: June 01, 2020, 10:50:48 PM »
Seriously, a poll of 913 respondents should have a margin or error of around 3.2%. Does anyone have a link to this poll's methodology that might explain this.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: June 01, 2020, 10:52:11 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on June 01, 2020, 10:50:48 PM
Seriously, a poll of 913 respondents should have a margin or error of around 3.2%. Does anyone have a link to this poll's methodology that might explain this.
https://github.com/optimus-forecasting-and-polling/0ptimus-Coronavirus-Tracking/blob/master/June-01-2020/0ptimus_Coronavirus_Methodology_Statement0530.pdf

This is all I've found on the matter. Their MoEs are all weirdly high.
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Hammy
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« Reply #10 on: June 02, 2020, 03:27:15 AM »
Why is this pollsters swinging so wildly? Wasn't Biden up almost 10 and before that Trump leading?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: June 02, 2020, 05:38:41 AM »
Quote from: Hammy on June 02, 2020, 03:27:15 AM
Why is this pollsters swinging so wildly? Wasn't Biden up almost 10 and before that Trump leading?

We are in June 2020, not in Sept and polls dont always agree with each other. We are in a campaign with no political rallies and we have looters and protesters amid COVID 19
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