ME- Victory Geek (D): Gideon +9

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Is this a poll actually commissioned by 538? I can’t read the text of the write up on my phone for whatever reason

They often upload the toplines for polls they didn't request after reaching out to those who did produce them but only released one figure or two.

Here's two other matchups from the same poll:

Betsy Sweet 44%
Collins 43%
Undecided 10%

Generic D 49%
Collins 39%
Undecided 12%

And the primary figures:

Gideon 64%
Sweet 17%
Undecided 19%

If Collins is doing this badly, Trump's figures are probably terrible. ME-AL is an overrated flip for Republicans; they can do it, but it's not going to be a tipping point state and is only worth defending for the NRSC.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

This poll should be deeply troubling to Collins.

Hopefully, it's about as effective in getting her to change course as everything else that is "deeply troubling" to her.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Pshhh, Collins can easily come back after reminding the voters of how much of a moderate she is.

Likely R, maybe even safe R.

The problem is that one of her favourite tactics to remind voters here is suggesting that she moderated the Republican caucus. The current president doesn't just ignore "He has learnt his lesson"; he deliberately mocks it, and will probably continue to sabotage Collins right up until election day.