Likely R. Good poll, but Graham will expand his lead in the autumn. All we can do, is hope and turn out and vote Trump and the Republicans away.
Dont you realize, that we aren't in an average election yr where the economy is at 25% unemployment, not 3.5 percent. If Tim Scott can win, so can Harrison
In the words of Tip O'Neill, "All politics is local."
Unemployment in South Carolina is only 12.5% as of May, not 20%, and it has most impacted people who wouldn't have voted for Graham or a Republican anyway. Harrison will do better than Hutto did six years ago. He might even be able to hold Graham to a mere plurality in the general.
However, back in 2014, Graham never had a majority, just pluralities in the polls and he ended up winning 54-39, so there's every reason to expect the undecideds will break his way again, just probably not as strongly as in elections past.
Do you think it is probable that Harrison comes within single digits? I could see this race having a very similar outcome to the 2018 gubernatorial election, when McMaster beat Smith 54-46%.
