SC-Civiqs: TIE

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Likely R. Good poll, but Graham will expand his lead in the autumn. All we can do, is hope and turn out and vote Trump and the Republicans away.

Dont you realize, that we aren't in an average election yr where the economy is at 25% unemployment, not 3.5 percent.  If Tim Scott can win, so can Harrison

It's still early, we need to cautious. Trump has a cult following, who will support him no matter what. But there are Trumpists leaving surely. If you see this margin still in sept / oct with less undecideds, i will start to be more hopeful, but this is a bad sign for the Republicans, and the last two-three months were bad for Republicans.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Doubt

[Coldstream]

Feel like it’s a similar situation to McConnell. A lot of right leaning independents don’t like him because he’s such an unprincipled opportunist, but they’d still say he’s better than a Democrat. Not impossible to see the Dems picking this up though.

[Harvey Updyke Jr🌹]

New Poll: South Carolina Senator by Civiqs on 2020-05-26

Summary: D: 42%, R: 42%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Outlier until proven otherwise.  If/when subsequent polls confirm this...the race will still be just Safe R as ever.  Best case scenario, this is basically the 2014 KY Senate race and that's assuming this poll isn't an outlier.

[Harvey Updyke Jr🌹]

Outlier until proven otherwise.  If/when subsequent polls confirm this...the race will still be just Safe R as ever.

It has a MoE of 4.5% bc of a low survey size, so I wouldn't really call it an outlier.  The GOP is just getting shellacked by reality right now (for obvious reasons).

[Harvey Updyke Jr🌹]

Likely R. Good poll, but Graham will expand his lead in the autumn. All we can do, is hope and turn out and vote Trump and the Republicans away.

Dont you realize, that we aren't in an average election yr where the economy is at 25% unemployment, not 3.5 percent.  If Tim Scott can win, so can Harrison

It's still early, we need to cautious. Trump has a cult following, who will support him no matter what. But there are Trumpists leaving surely. If you see this margin still in sept / oct with less undecideds, i will start to be more hopeful, but this is a bad sign for the Republicans, and the last two-three months were bad for Republicans.

lol it takes forever to bring jobs back though.  Maybe not from 25% unemployment, but it won't just shoot down to 3% again.  It will take years to recover from this pandemic.  And guess who almost everyone blames outside of the ever so shrinking Republican base?

[MillennialModerate]

Polls like this make me wonder how polling agencies get funded

This is a joke and everyone in the world knows it’s a joke

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Progressive moderate said Harrison had no chance🤩🤩🤩

If the whole Atlas is wrong about SC, while OC is right. That would be insane.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What we can get from this poll is that yes, the Democrat will get 42% of the vote.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What we can get from this poll is that yes, the Democrat will get 42% of the vote.

Dont you realize Trump is the Justice Dept and Police Brutality has hurt AA in the Bible Belt and in MN.

Graham is also at 42%, SC isnt KY and have 20% AA, that's why Tim Scott is Senator too

[Harvey Updyke Jr🌹]

Polls like this make me wonder how polling agencies get funded

This is a joke and everyone in the world knows it’s a joke

Dude.  Twenty. Five. Percent. Unemployment. Rate.


anything is possible this year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Polls like this make me wonder how polling agencies get funded

This is a joke and everyone in the world knows it’s a joke

Yes, he thinks the economy is still at 3.5 percent

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Likely R. Good poll, but Graham will expand his lead in the autumn. All we can do, is hope and turn out and vote Trump and the Republicans away.

Dont you realize, that we aren't in an average election yr where the economy is at 25% unemployment, not 3.5 percent.  If Tim Scott can win, so can Harrison

In the words of Tip O'Neill, "All politics is local."

Unemployment in South Carolina is only 12.5% as of May, not 20%, and it has most impacted people who wouldn't have voted for Graham or a Republican anyway. Harrison will do better than Hutto did six years ago. He might even be able to hold Graham to a mere plurality in the general.

However, back in 2014, Graham never had a majority, just pluralities in the polls and he ended up winning 54-39, so there's every reason to expect the undecideds will break his way again, just probably not as strongly as in elections past.

[Calthrina950]

Likely R. Good poll, but Graham will expand his lead in the autumn. All we can do, is hope and turn out and vote Trump and the Republicans away.

Dont you realize, that we aren't in an average election yr where the economy is at 25% unemployment, not 3.5 percent.  If Tim Scott can win, so can Harrison

In the words of Tip O'Neill, "All politics is local."

Unemployment in South Carolina is only 12.5% as of May, not 20%, and it has most impacted people who wouldn't have voted for Graham or a Republican anyway. Harrison will do better than Hutto did six years ago. He might even be able to hold Graham to a mere plurality in the general.

However, back in 2014, Graham never had a majority, just pluralities in the polls and he ended up winning 54-39, so there's every reason to expect the undecideds will break his way again, just probably not as strongly as in elections past.

Do you think it is probable that Harrison comes within single digits? I could see this race having a very similar outcome to the 2018 gubernatorial election, when McMaster beat Smith 54-46%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Harrison can still win this race. We need some more AA in the Senate

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

It would be nice to see a washout of all of Trump's allies, but I don't see Graham losing. I just hate he sold himself out to become one of Trump's most loyal supporters.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They havent polled this race