TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,773
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« on: May 25, 2020, 05:36:33 PM » |
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My guess is that Lewis runs behind Trump by 2-3 points, but the expectation that Trump will win the presidency no matter what polls indicate will hurt downballot Republicans like Lewis as expectations of an HRC presidency hurt downballot Democrats in 2016. Therefore, if Trump actually pulls ahead of Biden in MN, I expect he'd need to be ahead by 4-5 to pull Lewis over the line.
The Senate race is likely D and the presidential contest is lean D.
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