AZ is not close and Trump wins there by about 6%.
VA will vote to the right of NV and CO. Trump wins VA by 1% while losing NV by 1% and CO by 3%.
COVID-19 will help Trump.
McSally squeaks by in the AZ senate race, Winning by 2% on the back of Trump.
Gardner loses but only narrowly by 1.5%.
NC and ME hold for the GOP while MI flips. The senate is 54-46.
Republicans come very close to taking the House but fall short. 221-214.
PA and MI could both vote right of WI.
NM is in play. Trump comes up only 3.5% short.
TX will shift heavily to the right and give Trump a 15% win.
Trump wins by 2% in the popular vote.
Yep, still a Trump optimist.
This is less optimism and more completely ignoring every single poll that has ever come out in the last year.
Polls didn't even mean anything during the end of the campaign in 2016 and they certainly don't exactly count for much of anything at this point. They were wrong in 2016, They were mostly wrong in 2018 and there's no evidence that they'll be right this year. Thus, I think Trump will defy the polls again.
While many states polls were and are garbage, the national polling was spot on in 2016 and is usually a good predictor has Biden as up 6 points nationally.
If Biden is even up 4 points literally none of 538 said could be true
